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Engineering managers

Official title Architectural and Engineering Managers (SOC 11-9041)

Also called Principal engineer, Project director, Design manager, Technical director, Chief engineer

In brief

In May 2025, BLS counted 220,260 US engineering managers, with median pay of $171,270 a year. The earliest figure here is an estimate of 8,000 from 1880, not measured the same way as today's count. The last full technology era for engineering managers: Cloud-connected construction intelligence, 2015 to 2023.

What the sources say

Official outlook

BLS projects employment to grow 5.5% from 2025 to 2035.

BLS Employment Projections 2025-35

AI exposure studies

  • 38.6% of this job's tasks are exposed to large language models. Not a forecast of job losses. Eloundou and others, 2023
  • 0.017 estimated probability that the whole occupation could be computerised, over an unspecified number of years. Not a forecast of job losses. Frey and Osborne, 2013

Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35.

Last updated .

Cite this page
APA

Future History. (2026, October 11). Engineering managers: jobs and pay since 1880 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/11-9041

Chicago

Future History. "Engineering managers: jobs and pay since 1880." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified October 11, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/11-9041.

BibTeX

@misc{futurehistory_11_9041, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Engineering managers: jobs and pay since 1880}, year = {2026}, month = oct, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/11-9041}}, note = {Last updated 2026-10-11. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }

The access date is today's date on your device.

drag to travel through time
187519001925195019752000now
2026
Known then as Chief Engineer / Superintendent of Works (railroad, canal, and public works era)
Known then as Chief Engineer / Works Manager / Engineering Superintendent (industrial era)
Known then as Chief Engineer / Director of Engineering / Program Manager (Cold War defense era)
Known then as Engineering Manager / Director of Engineering / Technical Director (post-Apollo corporate era)
Known then as Architectural and Engineering Managers (BLS SOC 11-9041)
Known today as Architectural and Engineering Managers (BLS SOC 11-9041)
Projected to still be called Architectural and Engineering Managers (BLS SOC 11-9041)
Data from the May 2025 survey
US Employment
220K
Est.

Stated in source: BLS OEWS

Official statistic
Report an error
Median Annual Wage
$171,270
Est.

≈ $166,879 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)

Official statistic
Report an error
Beat · 1852

November 5, 1852: A dozen civil engineers, led by Alfred W. Craven, Chief Engineer of New York City's Croton Aqueduct, found the American Society of Civil Engineers and Architects in Craven's Manhattan office. This is the first formal professional organization for the occupation in the United States. The founding engineers explicitly include management in their mission statement: "the professional improvement of the members, the encouragement of social intercourse among men of practical science, the advancement of engineering in its several branches." Craven himself is the archetype of the modern architectural and engineering manager: technically credentialed, organizationally authoritative, and personally accountable for a complex public infrastructure project.

Beat · 1866

Grenville Dodge is named Chief Engineer of the Union Pacific Railroad, leading the engineering organization that will build the western half of the First Transcontinental Railroad. Dodge managed a team of hundreds of engineers, surveyors, and grading crews working simultaneously on a 1,000-mile construction front. His role is the most prominent 19th-century example of engineering management at scale: the authority to approve route alignments, manage massive labor forces, negotiate with contractors, and report directly to the railroad board. The Union Pacific project also produced the first documented use of PERT-like scheduling concepts: Dodge kept parallel gangs on separate track segments to control the overall project critical path, a management practice that would not be formalized in writing until the Critical Path Method was developed in 1957.

Beat · 1906

Frederick Winslow Taylor is elected President of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers, the apex of the "scientific management" movement he launched from the 1880s onward. Taylor's 1911 book "The Principles of Scientific Management" systematizes what the most effective engineering managers of the Industrial Revolution were already doing: separating the planning of work (the manager's domain) from its execution (the worker's domain), measuring time and motion to set performance standards, and holding engineering organizations accountable to quantitative outputs rather than traditional craft norms. Taylor's framework is the intellectual foundation of every subsequent approach to engineering management, from PERT/CPM in 1957 to today's AI-assisted project analytics.

Beat · 1957

The Critical Path Method is developed jointly by Morgan Walker of DuPont and James E. Kelly of Remington Rand, originally to schedule complex chemical plant maintenance shutdowns. In 1958, the Program Evaluation and Review Technique is developed by the US Navy (Polaris missile program) with Booz Allen Hamilton. CPM and PERT become the standard scheduling tools for large engineering programs by the early 1960s. The quantitative scheduling approach marks the professionalization of engineering project management as a discipline separate from engineering design: the manager's primary tool shifts from the transit level to the network diagram.

Beat · 1963

George Mueller joins NASA as Associate Administrator for Manned Space Flight, inheriting a program struggling with schedule and integration across hundreds of contractors. Mueller introduces "all-up testing" (test complete, assembled rockets rather than individual components) over the objection of many senior engineers, compressing the development schedule from an estimated 1969 completion date to the 1969 Moon landing that was actually achieved. Mueller's management of Apollo represents the peak expression of engineering management as a distinct discipline: his contribution to the Moon landing was organizational and managerial, not technical design -- he succeeded where technically brilliant engineers had struggled because he understood how to structure accountability, information flow, and decision authority across a 400,000-person organization.

Beat · 1982

Autodesk releases AutoCAD for IBM PC in December 1982 at the COMDEX trade show, priced at $1,000. The software allows engineers and drafters to produce drawings on a personal computer rather than at a drafting table. Within five years, AutoCAD is the dominant CAD platform in AEC and mechanical engineering. For engineering managers, the implications are transformational: the drawing -- previously a hand-produced artifact requiring specialized drafting skill -- becomes a digital file subject to version control, electronic distribution, and automated checking. The transition from paper to digital drawings creates new management requirements around drawing standards, file naming conventions, and inter-discipline coordination that are still being refined in BIM management practices today.

Beat · 2024

ASCE issues Policy Statement 573 in July 2024, titled "Artificial Intelligence Applications in Civil Engineering." The policy statement states explicitly: "AI cannot be held accountable, nor can it replace the training, experience, and judgment of a professional engineer." This is the professional engineering community's formal response to the rapid adoption of AI tools in AEC: the PE stamp, and the legal liability it represents, remain the human manager's and cannot be delegated to an AI system. ASCE further states that future engineers will operate "at a higher level, overseeing the outcomes and calculations performed by AI systems" -- framing the engineering manager not as a role threatened by AI but as the designated AI oversight tier in a profession where public safety is at stake.

How to read this number

OEWS is a point-in-time survey snapshot, not a continuous time series; BLS advises against using it for year-over-year trend comparison.

Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.

Official statistic: Copied by a script from a statistics agency table or a published study's table, not retyped by hand. BLS figures and the forecast and exposure tables are also re-checked against that table on every data run. Researched context: Researched from the cited source rather than copied from it by a script, so it is not machine-checked yet. Spot a mistake? Each figure has a “Report an error” link.

Cited forecasts · present → 2035

Will AI replace engineering managers? What the research says

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.

What published forecasts say
Forecast change in the number of people doing this work, as published by each named source. Bars share one scale on every role, centred on zero and reaching the end at ±30%. Grey marks a small change, 3% or less either way.
BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
→ 2035
+5.5%
BLS National Employment Matrix, 2025-35 cycle, line for SOC 11-9041 (Architectural and engineering managers): 220.9 thousand jobs in 2025, projected 233.1 thousand in 2035, a change of +12.2 thousand (+5.5%). Matrix employment counts all jobs in the occupation, including self-employed workers (0.2% of this occupation in 2025). The average for all occupations in this cycle is +3.5%.
Official statisticReport an error
How exposed is this work to AI (research measures)
Scores as published by each study. Each row says what it measures. These measure what AI could technically do, not forecasts of jobs lost.
Eloundou et al. (2023), "GPTs are GPTs"
2023 study · Share of tasks exposed to LLMs (β, human-rated)
38.6%
of tasks
What this measures

Published occupation-level exposure from the paper's occ_level.csv for O*NET-SOC 11-9041.00 Architectural and Engineering Managers. Shown: human-rated β = 0.386, the share of the occupation's tasks an LLM could do in at least half the time at equal quality, counting tasks that need LLM-powered software at half weight (β = E1 + 0.5 × E2). Other published measures for this occupation: human-rated α (LLM alone) 0.114 and γ (all LLM-assisted) 0.657; GPT-4-rated β 0.471. This measures how much of the work an LLM could touch, not how many jobs disappear.

Official statisticReport an error
Frey & Osborne (2013), "The Future of Employment"
2013 study · Probability of computerisation (2013 model)
1.7%
probability
What this measures

Published appendix value for SOC 2010 11-9041 Architectural and Engineering Managers: probability of computerisation 0.017, rank 78 of 702 (rank 1 is least computerisable). Frey and Osborne estimated in 2013, with a Gaussian-process classifier on O*NET variables, how likely the whole occupation is to be technically automatable over "some unspecified number of years, perhaps a decade or two". It is a probability for the occupation, not a share of tasks and not a forecast of jobs lost.

Official statisticReport an error
Today, in this role

What's changing day to day for engineering managers

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you hereMonitor construction-phase project progress, cost, and schedule using Doxel AI: crews wearing 360° cameras capture site video

Monitor construction-phase project progress, cost, and schedule using Doxel AI: crews wearing 360° cameras capture site video; Doxel automatically measures work-in-place across all trades and compares actuals against the BIM model and CPM schedule; review AI-generated delay forecasts derived from historic production rates; use portfolio dashboard to identify at-risk projects across the firm's backlog; initiate corrective actions with construction managers for schedule or budget deviations before they compound. Doxel customers (DPR Construction, Sundt, JE Dunn, Scripps Health) report 95% reduction in progress-tracking time, 11% faster project delivery, and 16% monthly cost reduction.[6]

Tools picking this up
Where your edge is

Doxel automates the data collection and progress-quantification layer, but the corrective-action decisions (whether to accelerate a trade, request a time extension, or escalate a subcontractor performance issue) require the manager's knowledge of contract terms, subcontractor capabilities, and owner relationship context that no AI tool possesses. Build a structured weekly review cadence using Doxel dashboards as the input, and maintain judgment about when AI-flagged delay trends justify contractual escalation vs. field-level problem-solving.

AI is sitting alongside you hereManage RFI, submittal, and construction document workflows using Procore AI: the RFI Creation Agent generates RFI content in seconds by searching project specifications and prior decisions

Manage RFI, submittal, and construction document workflows using Procore AI: the RFI Creation Agent generates RFI content in seconds by searching project specifications and prior decisions; the Submittal Review Agent processes submittals against project specs and flags discrepancies; Procore Copilot (launched globally November 2024) retrieves contextually relevant answers from specs, RFIs, and contracts via natural language. Review AI-drafted responses for technical accuracy; apply engineering judgment to conditions where site context, geotechnical conditions, or owner preferences override the specification; formally issue under professional accountability. Procore reports one firm processing 10 submittals per hour with the AI agent versus a full day manually.[7],[12]

Where your edge is

Procore AI dramatically reduces document turnaround time on construction projects, but the engineering manager is accountable for every RFI and submittal response bearing their signature. Build a quality-control habit: for every AI-generated response, verify the cited spec section in full context, confirm the answer holds under site-specific exceptions not captured in the spec text, and revise before issuance. This verification step, not the drafting, is where PE judgment earns its fee.

AI is sitting alongside you hereCapture and review as-built construction conditions using OpenSpace Visual Intelligence Platform: engineering managers direct field crews to walk the site with 360° cameras on a scheduled basis

Capture and review as-built construction conditions using OpenSpace Visual Intelligence Platform: engineering managers direct field crews to walk the site with 360° cameras on a scheduled basis; OpenSpace automatically maps images to BIM models and floor plans; use Progress Tracking to compare actual installation against planned schedule milestones and identify at-risk scope; review AI-generated progress summaries for owner invoicing validation and schedule dispute resolution. The platform integrates with P6, Asta Powerproject, and Microsoft Project for schedule-actuals comparison. 62% of ENR Top 400 general contractors have adopted OpenSpace.[9],[13]

Where your edge is

OpenSpace reduces documentation effort from hours of written field notes to a camera walk, but percent-complete assessment for partially installed systems (embedded MEP rough-in, reinforcing steel covered by concrete, underground utilities) requires trained engineering judgment that camera coverage alone cannot confirm. Build a structured field verification checklist for each work type so camera walks are paired with the hands-on confirmation that supports defensible invoice approvals and schedule progress certifications.

Where engineering managers go next

Natural next steps for someone with your foundation: not exits, evolutions.

What each move takes

A direction you could grow

Chief Executives

Engineering managers at the principal or managing director level in AEC firms, particularly in architecture/engineering practices with hundreds of staff, are the natural pipeline for firm President, CEO, or Managing Principal roles. This is the highest-leverage transition available to the role: it converts technical and project leadership into enterprise strategy, equity ownership, and board accountability. At AEC firms, CEO candidates are expected to have both technical credibility (PE license or AIA membership) and demonstrated business development success. The transition requires adding enterprise financial management, M&A fluency, equity structuring, and external board governance to a strong engineering management foundation.

What you'd add
  • · Enterprise financial management: firm-level profit margin, utilization rate, overhead, and realization-rate optimization in professional services
  • · Business development leadership: building and sustaining a firm-level client development pipeline, go/no-go discipline, strategic teaming
  • · M&A and ownership transition: AEC firm valuation, internal ownership transfer (ESOP, stock redemption), due diligence for acquisitions
  • · Board governance and external stakeholder relations: investor/lender reporting, industry association leadership, public sector client relationships
  • · Executive communication and firm culture leadership: vision-setting, talent retention strategy, DEI program ownership at the firm level
What it takesA real upskill, but a natural one
Tools of the era

How has the work of engineering managers changed since 1830?

The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Transit, level, and chain survey instruments (pre-industrial field coordination)

    The 19th-century engineering manager's instruments of authority were the transit, surveyor's level, and Gunter's chain. Directing a construction project of any scale meant riding the line, reading the instrument, approving the survey stakes, and signing the engineer's report in ink. The technology of coordination was pen, paper, and physical presence. The chief engineer on a railroad project reviewed hand-drawn profile drawings, approved alignments by personal inspection, and communicated with division engineers by letter -- a process that made the judgment of the senior engineer irreplaceable and that made engineering management intensely local and physical in character.

  • Telegraph, blueprint, and telephone (industrial-era remote coordination)

    The telegraph and the telephone dissolved the geographic constraint of engineering management. A chief engineer at headquarters could now direct field engineers at remote sites without riding there. Blueprint reproduction (the cyanotype process, patented 1842, in widespread use by the 1880s) meant that a single approved drawing set could be distributed to every contractor on a project simultaneously. Frederick Winslow Taylor, whose "The Principles of Scientific Management" appeared in 1911, crystallized what the era's most effective engineering managers were already doing: decomposing work into measurable tasks, setting performance standards, and separating planning (the manager's domain) from execution (the worker's domain). The telephone, in regular business use by the 1890s, allowed engineering managers to intervene in real time across distances that previously required days of travel.

    Effect on the work

    Scientific management practices, widely adopted from 1911 onward, raised labor productivity in manufacturing on specific tasks (Taylor's steel-shoveling studies), but simultaneously elevated the organizational requirement for engineering supervisory staff to implement and monitor the new systems.

  • CPM / PERT scheduling and systems engineering (Cold War program management era)

    The Critical Path Method was developed in 1957 by Morgan Walker (DuPont) and James Kelley (Remington Rand) to schedule complex chemical plant maintenance. The Program Evaluation and Review Technique was developed in 1958 for the Polaris missile program by the US Navy with Booz Allen Hamilton. By 1962, both methods were standard tools for managing large engineering programs. For the first time, an engineering manager could model the full interdependency of a multi-year project on paper, identify the schedule-controlling path, and allocate resources accordingly. NASA's Apollo program management -- led by George Mueller from 1963 onward -- institutionalized PERT/CPM scheduling across hundreds of contractors and thousands of engineers. The era defined the modern engineering program manager as distinct from the engineering technician: someone whose primary skill was organizing the work of many engineers rather than performing engineering calculations themselves.

    Effect on the work

    The Apollo program employed hundreds of thousands of engineers and technicians at peak. The program management structure required to coordinate them -- an engineering management tier of program directors, project engineers, systems engineers, and integration managers -- became the template for all subsequent large-scale engineering program management in aerospace, defense, and eventually commercial AEC.

  • CAD and personal computing (digital drawing and project tracking)

    AutoCAD, released by Autodesk in December 1982, transformed the drafting floor. By the late 1980s, the engineering firm's drawing production had shifted from pen-on-vellum manual drafting to CAD workstations, and the engineering manager's role shifted with it: from managing draftsmen who drew by hand to managing CAD operators whose output required different quality-assurance processes. Lotus 1-2-3 (1983) and then Microsoft Excel (1985) moved project budget tracking from paper ledgers to spreadsheets; Primavera Project Planner (P3, launched 1983) became the standard scheduling tool for large construction projects. For the engineering manager, the personal computer era meant that status reporting, budget tracking, and schedule management could be done at a desk rather than requiring a dedicated accounting or scheduling staff -- a genuine productivity expansion for smaller engineering firms.

    Effect on the work

    CAD adoption eliminated a large fraction of manual drafting positions (reduction in dedicated drafting staff between 1980 and 2000) while creating new demand for CAD manager and BIM manager roles within engineering teams. Engineering managers gained direct access to project financial and schedule data for the first time without intermediary staff.

  • BIM and integrated project management platforms (Revit, Procore, Primavera P6)

    Building Information Modeling emerged in the late 1990s with the Revit platform (founded 1997, acquired by Autodesk 2002) and the ArchiCAD predecessor (first released 1984). BIM changed what engineering managers reviewed: instead of approving 2D drawing sheets, they began governing 3D parametric models that embedded clash detection, quantity takeoffs, and structural analysis in a single file. For engineering managers, BIM created a new governance requirement: managing model ownership, version control, and inter-discipline coordination in a shared digital environment. Procore, founded in 2002, brought cloud-based construction management to the mainstream; P6 (Primavera P6 Evolved from P3) became the de facto schedule tool on federal projects. By 2010 the typical large AEC engineering manager was simultaneously overseeing a Revit-based design model, a P6 schedule, and a Procore document management system -- three distinct platforms requiring distinct governance skills.

  • Cloud-connected construction intelligence (drone surveys, 360 documentation, IoT sensors)

    Between 2015 and 2023, the construction site became increasingly instrumented. DJI drone platforms (used for aerial surveys and progress photography by 2016) gave engineering managers photogrammetric site models without helicopters or manned survey crews. Matterport and then OpenSpace 360-degree camera systems (OpenSpace platform from 2017) provided continuous as-built documentation. IoT sensors on formwork, structural steel, and concrete maturity monitors fed real-time data to project dashboards. For the engineering manager, these tools extended visibility from weekly site walks to near-continuous remote awareness -- but they also created a new data-management challenge: vast volumes of unstructured site imagery and sensor readings that required tools to interpret and filter before they became actionable.

  • AI construction intelligence (Doxel, Procore AI agents, Bluebeam Max, generative design)

    The 2023-2026 wave of AI tooling in AEC has reshuffled the engineering manager's week more sharply than any technology since CAD. Doxel AI (deployed at DPR Construction, Sundt, JE Dunn, and others) automates progress tracking from 360-degree site video -- a task that previously consumed a small share of a project manager's weekly hours -- and delivers delay forecasts from historic production rates. Procore AI launched job-specific agents at Groundbreak 2025, including an RFI Creation Agent that drafts responses in seconds and a Submittal Review Agent that processes several submittals per hour versus a full day manually. Bluebeam Max (launched globally May 2026) uses Claude to scan entire drawing sets for scope gaps and cross-sheet discrepancies. Autodesk Construction Cloud's Construction IQ surfaces high-risk issues across a project portfolio from historical data patterns. Microsoft 365 Copilot reclaims three-plus hours per week per manager in meeting recaps and status aggregation. The ASCE Code of Ethics (Section 1h) and ASCE Policy Statement 573 (July 2024) make explicit that AI cannot hold professional accountability -- the PE stamp and the legal liability remain the manager's and cannot be delegated. This structural fact is what makes the role resilient as the AI toolset expands: every AI output the team acts on requires the manager's engineering judgment to accept it.

    Effect on the work

    Early adopter AEC firms report 11% faster project delivery and 16% monthly cost reduction from Doxel AI alone (DPR, Layton, Sundt deployments). Microsoft Forrester TEI (2024) found M365 Copilot saves hours per week per manager. These productivity gains have not yet translated into headcount reductions in the engineering manager tier; they have instead expanded the portfolio scope each manager can govern.

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Architectural and Engineering Managers employment and pay by year

On record since1852
Latest US employment220,260 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Latest US median pay$171,270 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Outlook+5.5% by 2035Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Official statisticReport an error
View all 28 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
YearUS employmentAnnual pay (median unless marked)SourceReport
18808,000n/aEst., Cambridge Enterprise and Society Researched contextReport
192035,000n/aEst., Cambridge Enterprise and Society Researched contextReport
1956n/a$12,000Est., University of Missouri Libraries Researched contextReport
196085,000n/aEst., Cambridge Enterprise and Society Researched contextReport
2000242,280$84,070BLS OEWS 2000 Official statisticReport
2003194,940$94,470BLS OEWS May 2003 Official statisticReport
2004186,380$97,630BLS OEWS May 2004 Official statisticReport
2005187,410$100,760BLS OEWS May 2005 Official statisticReport
2006183,960$105,430BLS OEWS May 2006 Official statisticReport
2007184,410$111,020BLS OEWS May 2007 Official statisticReport
2008182,300$115,270BLS OEWS May 2008 Official statisticReport
2009178,110$117,000BLS OEWS May 2009 Official statisticReport
2010174,720$119,260BLS OEWS May 2010 Official statisticReport
2011184,530$122,190BLS OEWS May 2011 Official statisticReport
2012187,640$124,870BLS OEWS May 2012 Official statisticReport
2013183,430$128,170BLS OEWS May 2013 Official statisticReport
2014179,320$130,620BLS OEWS May 2014 Official statisticReport
2015179,770$132,800BLS OEWS May 2015 Official statisticReport
2016178,390$134,730BLS OEWS May 2016 Official statisticReport
2017179,990$137,720BLS OEWS May 2017 Official statisticReport
2018188,290$140,760BLS OEWS May 2018 Official statisticReport
2019194,250$144,830BLS OEWS May 2019 Official statisticReport
2020195,900$149,530BLS OEWS May 2020 Official statisticReport
2021187,100$152,350BLS OEWS May 2021 Official statisticReport
2022197,180$159,920BLS OEWS May 2022 Official statisticReport
2023207,800$165,370BLS OEWS May 2023 Official statisticReport
2024210,340$167,740BLS OEWS May 2024 Official statisticReport
2025220,260$171,270BLS OEWS May 2025 Official statisticReport
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