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Engine and other machine assemblers

In brief

In May 2025, BLS counted 34,000 US engine and other machine assemblers, with median pay of $53,710 a year. The earliest figure here is an estimate of 3,000 from 1865, not measured the same way as today's count. The last full technology era for engine and other machine assemblers: Coordinate measuring machines and computer-aided assembly verification, 1985 to 2010.

Official statistic: latest count and pay.Researched context: earliest figure.

What the sources say

Official outlook

BLS projects employment to decline 17% from 2025 to 2035.

BLS Employment Projections 2025-35

Official statistic

AI exposure studies

  • 0.82 estimated probability that the whole occupation could be computerised, over an unspecified number of years. Not a forecast of job losses. Frey and Osborne, 2013 Official statistic

Since the 2013 prediction

In 2013, Frey and Osborne put this job's probability of computerisation at 0.82. BLS counted 39,620 of these jobs in May 2013 and 34,000 in May 2025 (-14%, a change derived by Future History).

Official statistic

Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. BLS publishes these counts as yearly survey snapshots and cautions against reading them as a precise trend. In May 2021 BLS changed how it estimates these counts (a model-based method using three years of survey data) and moved fully to the 2018 occupation codes, so part of a change across 2021 can come from the method rather than the work.

Last updated .

Cite this page
APA

Future History. (2026, October 31). Engine and other machine assemblers: jobs and pay since 1865 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/51-2031

Chicago

Future History. "Engine and other machine assemblers: jobs and pay since 1865." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified October 31, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/51-2031.

BibTeX

@misc{futurehistory_51_2031, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Engine and other machine assemblers: jobs and pay since 1865}, year = {2026}, month = oct, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/51-2031}}, note = {Last updated 2026-10-31. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }

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1850187519001925195019752000now
2026
Known then as Engine-builder / iron-works mechanic (steam engine era, craft-shop model)
Known then as Machine builder / engine fitter (industrial-era specialty craft)
Known then as Engine assembler / aircraft engine assembler (aero-industrial era)
Known then as Engine and turbine assembler / machine assembler (postwar industrial era)
Known then as Machine assembler / precision assembler (CNC-transition era)
Known then as Engine and Other Machine Assemblers (BLS SOC 51-2031)
Known today as Engine and Other Machine Assemblers (BLS SOC 51-2031)
Projected to still be called Engine and Other Machine Assemblers (BLS SOC 51-2031)
Data from the May 2025 survey
US Employment
34K
Est.

Stated in source: BLS OEWS

Official statistic
Report an error
Median Annual Wage
$53,710

≈ $52,333 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)

Official statistic
Report an error
Beat · 1838

The Morgan Iron Works is established in New York City as T. F. Secor and Co. at 9th Street on the East River, specializing in marine steam engines. By the 1850s the plant employs up to 700 men. Between 1838 and 1867 it produces at least 144 steam engines, including 23 for US Navy vessels during the Civil War. Its near neighbor, the Etna Iron Works, grows to almost 2,000 workers during the Civil War building some of the largest marine engines in the country. These New York iron works are the direct ancestors of the specialized engine assembly craft.

Beat · 1925

Frederick Rentschler founds Pratt and Whitney Aircraft Company in Hartford, Connecticut in July 1925, hiring engineers from Wright Aeronautical and moving into a former automobile factory. By Christmas 1925 the team has completed the Wasp radial engine: 425 horsepower, 650 pounds. The US Navy orders 200 Wasp and Hornet engines in October 1926, establishing the company's financial footing. The Wasp is designed explicitly for interchangeable parts, a discipline that will define aero-engine assembly practice for the next century: every component must be replaceable from stock without hand-fitting.

Beat · 1942

On April 18, 1942, GE Lynn runs its first American-built jet engine, the I-A, based on Sir Frank Whittle's British design. The engine turns over successfully and marks the beginning of the American jet age. GE Lynn's workforce will eventually peak at approximately 13,000 employees in 1985 before declining as automation and offshoring reshape jet-engine assembly. The plant remains GE's primary small-jet-engine facility into the 21st century.

Beat · 1948

GE opens its Evendale manufacturing complex in Ohio, originally to produce J47 jet engines for the US Air Force. Within two years of the Korean War outbreak in 1950, the plant expands from 1,200 workers to 8,000 employees. GE assembles more than 30,000 J47 engines, making it the most-produced jet engine in history, at over 1,000 engines per month at peak. Evendale becomes GE's hub for large jet engine manufacturing, while Lynn focuses on smaller engines.

Beat · 1979

US manufacturing employment reaches its all-time peak of 19.5 million workers, including fabricated metals and machinery at 4.2 million. The following year begins a long structural decline that will eventually cut the sector to 11.5 million (2009 trough) and recover only partially to 12.9 million by 2024. Engine and machine assemblers are embedded in this broader contraction: the precision manufacturing industries that employ them shed labor through CNC automation, quality-system improvements, and plant rationalization across the entire post-1979 era.

Beat · 2015

Pratt and Whitney introduces its "Alfred" collaborative robot to assemble high-pressure compressor rotors for the GTF (Geared Turbofan) engine, which powers the Airbus A320neo family. Alfred handles the repetitive positioning and fastening steps in rotor stacking, tasks previously performed by human assemblers, cutting the assembly time for this sub-assembly in half. The human assembler's role shifts toward oversight, inspection, and the non-conformance resolution that the robot cannot handle. Alfred is among the first widely publicized examples of a cobot taking over precision sub-assembly in aero-engine manufacturing and becomes a reference case for the broader automation trend among engine and machine assemblers.

How to read this number

OEWS is a point-in-time survey snapshot, not a continuous time series; BLS advises against using it for year-over-year trend comparison.

Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.

Official statistic: Copied by a script from a statistics agency table or a published study's table, not retyped by hand. BLS figures, ONS ASHE figures (UK pay and jobs) and the forecast and exposure tables are also re-checked against that table on every data run. Researched context: Researched from the cited source rather than copied from it by a script, so it is not machine-checked yet. Spot a mistake? Each figure has a “Report an error” link.

Cited forecasts · present → 2035

Will AI replace engine and other machine assemblers? What the research says

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.

What published forecasts say
Forecast change in the number of people doing this work, as published by each named source. Bars share one scale on every role, centred on zero and reaching the end at ±30%. Grey marks a small change, 3% or less either way.
  • BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
    Target year 2035
    -17%
    BLS National Employment Matrix, 2025-35 cycle, line for SOC 51-2031 (Engine and other machine assemblers): 33.5 thousand jobs in 2025, projected 27.8 thousand in 2035, a change of -5.7 thousand (-17.0%). Matrix employment counts all jobs in the occupation, including self-employed workers. The average for all occupations in this cycle is +3.5%.
    Official statisticReport an error
How exposed is this work to AI (research measures)
Scores as published by each study. Each row says what it measures. These measure what AI could technically do, not forecasts of jobs lost.
  • Frey & Osborne (2013), "The Future of Employment"
    2013 study · Probability of computerisation (2013 model)
    0.82
    probability
    What this measures

    Published appendix value for SOC 2010 51-2031 Engine and Other Machine Assemblers: probability of computerisation 0.82, rank 449 of 702 (rank 1 is least computerisable). Frey and Osborne estimated in 2013, with a Gaussian-process classifier on O*NET variables, how likely the whole occupation is to be technically automatable over "some unspecified number of years, perhaps a decade or two". It is a probability for the occupation, not a share of tasks and not a forecast of jobs lost.

    Official statisticReport an error
Today, in this role

What's changing day to day for engine and other machine assemblers

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you here Read and interpret assembly blueprints or specifications…

manuals, and plan assembly or building operations.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you here Position or align components for assembly…

, manually or using hoists.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you here Set and verify parts clearances

Sources[2]

Where your edge is

Tools of the era

How has the work of engine and other machine assemblers changed since 1838?

The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Hand tools, pattern templates, and steam-powered machine tools (craft-shop era)

    The engine assembler of the 19th century worked with a combination of hand files, scrapers, chisels, and precision measuring tools: the micrometer (invented by Jean-Louis Palmer in 1848 and commercialized in the US by Brown and Sharpe from the 1860s), dial indicators, and surface plates. Machine tools provided by the shop did rough stock removal; the finisher's hand brought the mating surfaces to tolerance. The Morgan Iron Works, operating on the East River in New York from 1838, equipped itself with horizontal and vertical lathes, boring mills, and planers to rough-cut castings, but the final fitting of piston rings, valve faces, and bearing surfaces was done by a craftsman who could feel when a surface was truly flat. The benchmark of quality was whether a finished engine, run under steam, would hold its valves without excessive blow-by and achieve its rated horsepower. There was no coordinate measuring machine, no process control chart: the craftsman's judgment was the quality system.

  • Interchangeable parts and jig-based aero-engine assembly (WWII mass-production era)

    The interchangeable-parts doctrine, long a goal of American manufacturing, became the foundational discipline of aero-engine assembly in the 1920s and was tested at industrial scale during World War II. Pratt and Whitney's Wasp engine (1925) was designed from the outset for interchangeability: every part had to be replaceable from stock without hand-fitting. When the war expanded production to 40,000 workers at Pratt and Whitney alone, the assembly line required this: the assembler's job shifted from craft fitting to accurate identification and installation of pre-qualified parts in a prescribed sequence, guided by jigs and fixtures rather than personal judgment. GE's Evendale plant, producing J47 jet engines for the Korean War at more than a thousand engines per month, operated on the same doctrine. This era created the modern profession: a precision assembly specialist who understands the mechanical architecture of complex rotating machinery and executes to specification, but does not create the tolerances through hand craftsmanship.

    Effect on the work

    Wartime mobilization expanded engine assembler employment to its historical peak, estimated at over 200,000 across aero-engine and industrial machinery manufacturers by 1943. Post-war demobilization sharply contracted this pool, but the peacetime aerospace, automotive engine, and industrial machinery sectors maintained a large skilled workforce through the 1950s.

  • Numerical control (NC) and early CNC machining (displacing manual fitting tasks)

    The first numerical control machine tools, developed at MIT's Servomechanisms Laboratory in 1952 and commercialized through the 1960s, began transferring precision control from the assembler's hands to a programmed controller. By 1970, the US machinery manufacturing sector was beginning a fundamental shift: tasks that once required a machinist or fitter to work a workpiece by feel were being handled by NC and then CNC machines that executed precise tool paths from a digital description. For the engine assembler, the direct impact came in two waves: first, the parts arriving at the assembly station were more uniformly within tolerance (requiring less fitting work); second, some sub-assembly operations that had been done by hand were moved to automated stations. The machinery manufacturing industry lost a significant portion of its production workforce between 1979 and the mid-1980s partly for this reason: the fabricated metals and machinery sector shed jobs from a peak of 4.2 million (1979) to 2.6 million by 2019, a decline.

    Effect on the work

    US machinery manufacturing (the largest single employer of engine and machine assemblers) saw employment decline from 4.2 million in 1979 to approximately 2.6 million by 2019, a reduction, driven in large part by NC/CNC automation reducing the labor required per unit of output.

  • Coordinate measuring machines (CMM) and computer-aided assembly verification

    The coordinate measuring machine became the dominant quality-control tool in precision manufacturing through the 1980s and 1990s, replacing hand-gauge measurement with a probe-and-computer system that could verify a complex 3D surface against a CAD model in minutes rather than hours. For engine assemblers, the CMM changed the role in two ways: it raised the measurability of every assembly step, making tolerances explicit and auditable that had previously been assessed by touch and experience; and it eventually fed back into the design-for-assembly process, as engineers could see precisely where human fitting was still required. Simultaneously, enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems in the 1990s restructured how work orders, parts traceability, and assembly instructions were delivered to the shop floor. The assembler of 1995 worked from a computer screen rather than a paper traveler, logged each step digitally, and operated within a quality-management framework that the assembler of 1965 would have found alien.

  • Collaborative robots (cobots), 3D-printed tooling, and AI-guided precision assembly

    The emergence of collaborative robots (cobots) designed to work alongside humans, rather than in caged isolation, brought automation directly into the precision assembly station for the first time. Pratt and Whitney's "Alfred" robot, which assembles high-pressure compressor rotors for the GTF engine powering the Airbus A320neo family, became a widely cited example: Alfred performs tasks that were previously described as monotonous and time-consuming, cutting assembly time in half and allowing human assemblers to focus on the judgment-intensive steps that the robot cannot reliably execute. 3D-printed assembly jigs and fixtures allow custom tooling to be produced overnight rather than over weeks, compressing setup times and making shorter production runs economically viable. AI-assisted torque and angle monitoring, embedded in smart tools, allows in-the-hand real-time verification of tightening sequences. The remaining human role concentrates on the genuinely complex: interpreting unexpected findings during assembly, making engineering judgment calls on non-conformances, and managing the knowledge that has not yet been codified well enough to automate.

    Effect on the work

    BLS projects a decline in engine and other machine assembler employment from 38,400 (2024) to 30,300 (2034), the steepest projected decline among major production occupations in the current projection cycle. The primary driver cited is continued automation of assembly tasks by collaborative robots and precision systems.

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Engine and Other Machine Assemblers employment and pay by year

On record since1838
Latest US employment34,000 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Latest US median pay$53,710 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Outlook-17% by 2035Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Official statisticReport an error
View all 27 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
Engine and Other Machine Assemblers in the US: employment and pay by year, with sources
YearUS employmentAnnual pay (median unless marked)SourceReport
18653,000n/aEst., Wikipedia[1] Researched contextReport
190045,000n/aDecennial Census 1900[2] Researched contextReport
1943200,000n/aEst., Connecticut History / Pratt and Whitney[3] Researched contextReport
2000n/a$33,748BLS CPS 2000[5] Researched contextReport
200350,410$32,400BLS OEWS May 2003[4] Official statisticReport
200445,730$34,800BLS OEWS May 2004[4] Official statisticReport
200549,430$34,770BLS OEWS May 2005[4] Official statisticReport
200645,120$33,250BLS OEWS May 2006[4] Official statisticReport
200741,100$31,500BLS OEWS May 2007[4] Official statisticReport
200839,270$32,660BLS OEWS May 2008[4] Official statisticReport
200934,080$34,490BLS OEWS May 2009[4] Official statisticReport
201033,310$36,310BLS OEWS May 2010[4] Official statisticReport
201136,670$36,420BLS OEWS May 2011[4] Official statisticReport
201240,750$36,110BLS OEWS May 2012[4] Official statisticReport
201339,620$37,300BLS OEWS May 2013[4] Official statisticReport
201438,330$38,310BLS OEWS May 2014[4] Official statisticReport
201538,700$39,600BLS OEWS May 2015[4] Official statisticReport
201638,150$41,210BLS OEWS May 2016[4] Official statisticReport
201737,770$43,390BLS OEWS May 2017[4] Official statisticReport
201848,200$44,380BLS OEWS May 2018[4] Official statisticReport
201945,980$45,660BLS OEWS May 2019[4] Official statisticReport
202041,510$45,770BLS OEWS May 2020[4] Official statisticReport
202145,990$47,440BLS OEWS May 2021[4] Official statisticReport
202250,120$50,850BLS OEWS May 2022[4] Official statisticReport
202347,960$50,270BLS OEWS May 2023[4] Official statisticReport
202438,420$52,540BLS OEWS May 2024[4] Official statisticReport
202534,000$53,710BLS OEWS May 2025[4] Official statisticReport
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