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Driver/sales workers

Also called Route sales driver, Route driver, DSD driver, Direct store delivery driver, Vending route driver

In brief

In May 2025, BLS counted 409,180 US driver/sales workers, with median pay of $38,770 a year. Of the BLS counts since 2021, the highest was 489,510, in May 2022. The earliest figure here is an estimate of 80,000 from 1900, not measured the same way as today's count. The last full technology era for driver/sales workers: DSD mobile platforms and route optimization software, 2010 to 2022.

What the sources say

Official outlook

BLS projects employment to grow 7.9% from 2025 to 2035.

BLS Employment Projections 2025-35

AI exposure studies

  • 0.98 estimated probability that the whole occupation could be computerised, over an unspecified number of years. Not a forecast of job losses. Frey and Osborne, 2013

Since the 2013 prediction

In 2013, Frey and Osborne put this job's probability of computerisation at 0.98. BLS counted 396,470 of these jobs in May 2013 and 409,180 in May 2025. The count moved sharply in one step, May 2020 to May 2021, when BLS changed how it estimates these counts, so no change is derived here.

Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. BLS publishes these counts as yearly survey snapshots and cautions against reading them as a precise trend. In May 2021 BLS changed how it estimates these counts (a model-based method using three years of survey data) and moved fully to the 2018 occupation codes, so part of a change across 2021 can come from the method rather than the work.

Last updated .

Cite this page
APA

Future History. (2026, October 11). Driver/sales workers: jobs and pay since 1900 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/53-3031

Chicago

Future History. "Driver/sales workers: jobs and pay since 1900." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified October 11, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/53-3031.

BibTeX

@misc{futurehistory_53_3031, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Driver/sales workers: jobs and pay since 1900}, year = {2026}, month = oct, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/53-3031}}, note = {Last updated 2026-10-11. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }

The access date is today's date on your device.

drag to travel through time
19001925195019752000now
2026
Known then as Route man / wagon driver (milk, bread, produce routes)
Known then as Route salesman / delivery driver (motorized era)
Known then as Route driver / route man (home delivery and DSD era)
Known then as Route salesperson / delivery-sales driver (DSD modernization era)
Known then as Driver/Sales Workers (BLS SOC 53-3031)
Known today as Driver/Sales Workers (BLS SOC 53-3031)
Projected to still be called Driver/Sales Workers (BLS SOC 53-3031)
Data from the May 2025 survey
US Employment
409K
Est.

Stated in source: BLS OEWS

Official statistic
Report an error
Median Annual Wage
$38,770
Est.

≈ $37,776 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)

Official statistic
Report an error
Beat · 1926

The Detroit Industrial Vehicle Company (Divco) introduced the first purpose-built multi-stop delivery truck in 1926, with the Stand-N-Drive configuration designed for route drivers who needed to exit the vehicle at every stop. The truck became ubiquitous in American cities for milk, bread, and laundry delivery. Divco produced vehicles continuously from 1926 to 1986, a 60-year run directly coinciding with the golden age and gradual decline of the home-delivery route economy.

Beat · 1941

Frito Company opened its western division in Los Angeles with two sales routes in 1941. Those two routes were the prototype of the largest Direct Store Delivery system in North America. H.W. Lay Company expanded in parallel. By 1963, the merged Frito-Lay had sales representatives who went beyond dropping merchandise to actively stocking shelves, building point-of-purchase displays, and managing product freshness, establishing the "full-service DSD" model that endures today.

Beat · 1963

By 1963, home milk delivery accounted for nearly 30% of all US consumer milk sales. That figure would fall to 6.9% by 1975 and 0.4% by 2005 as supermarkets with refrigerated cases displaced the daily doorstep delivery model. The collapse of home dairy routes was the single largest structural contraction in the driver/sales workforce: tens of thousands of milkmen retrained or moved into commercial DSD routes over the following two decades.

Beat · 1980

The Motor Carrier Act of 1980 (Staggers Rail Act equivalent for trucking) deregulated commercial trucking, ending the ICC rate-setting regime that had protected Teamster-negotiated wages across the industry. The deregulatory impact on driver/sales workers was smaller than on long-haul drivers, because DSD routes operated within a single territory and were less exposed to interstate competition on rates. However, the overall weakening of Teamster bargaining power that followed deregulation contributed to slow real-wage growth for route drivers through the 1980s and 1990s.

Beat · 1986

Frito-Lay's deployment of 10,000 handheld computers in 1986 (custom Fujitsu devices at a total cost of $40 million) is the landmark technology event in DSD history. The system allowed route sales representatives to transmit daily sales and inventory figures to headquarters each evening and receive pricing and promotion updates the following morning. It eliminated $4 million in annual accounting discrepancies and saved each sales rep an average of five hours of weekly paperwork. Competing food and beverage DSD operators spent the next decade building comparable systems.

Beat · 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic produced a brief resurgence of home milk delivery: concerns about in-store infection risk drove some consumers back to direct delivery services that had been dormant for decades. More significantly, the pandemic accelerated food-delivery app adoption (Instacart, DoorDash, Uber Eats, grocery direct delivery), creating a new demand pool for last-mile driver/sales workers outside the traditional DSD model. Employment held more stable during 2020 than many service occupations because food and beverage supply chains were classified as essential.

How to read this number

OEWS is a point-in-time survey snapshot, not a continuous time series; BLS advises against using it for year-over-year trend comparison.

Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.

Official statistic: Copied by a script from a statistics agency table or a published study's table, not retyped by hand. BLS figures and the forecast and exposure tables are also re-checked against that table on every data run. Researched context: Researched from the cited source rather than copied from it by a script, so it is not machine-checked yet. Spot a mistake? Each figure has a “Report an error” link.

Cited forecasts · present → 2035

Will AI replace driver/sales workers? What the research says

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.

What published forecasts say
Forecast change in the number of people doing this work, as published by each named source. Bars share one scale on every role, centred on zero and reaching the end at ±30%. Grey marks a small change, 3% or less either way.
BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
→ 2035
+7.9%
BLS National Employment Matrix, 2025-35 cycle, line for SOC 53-3031 (Driver/sales workers): 442.9 thousand jobs in 2025, projected 478.1 thousand in 2035, a change of +35.2 thousand (+7.9%). Matrix employment counts all jobs in the occupation, including self-employed workers (7.3% of this occupation in 2025). The average for all occupations in this cycle is +3.5%.
Official statisticReport an error
How exposed is this work to AI (research measures)
Scores as published by each study. Each row says what it measures. These measure what AI could technically do, not forecasts of jobs lost.
Frey & Osborne (2013), "The Future of Employment"
2013 study · Probability of computerisation (2013 model)
98%
probability
What this measures

Published appendix value for SOC 2010 53-3031 Driver/Sales Workers: probability of computerisation 0.98, rank 674 of 702 (rank 1 is least computerisable). Frey and Osborne estimated in 2013, with a Gaussian-process classifier on O*NET variables, how likely the whole occupation is to be technically automatable over "some unspecified number of years, perhaps a decade or two". It is a probability for the occupation, not a share of tasks and not a forecast of jobs lost.

Official statisticReport an error
Today, in this role

What's changing day to day for driver/sales workers

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you hereReview and submit the auto-generated end-of-day route report in the DSD platform: confirm total sales match collected payments, verify return and credit entries are correctly coded, flag any stop where the system record does not match your memory of the transaction, and submit for back-office processing.

Review and submit the auto-generated end-of-day route report in the DSD platform: confirm total sales match collected payments, verify return and credit entries are correctly coded, flag any stop where the system record does not match your memory of the transaction, and submit for back-office processing.[10],[1]

Where your edge is

Spot anomalies in the auto-compiled summary before submission rather than after a billing dispute surfaces. Drivers who build a habit of pre-submission review catch system errors (duplicate stops, mis-coded credits) and protect themselves from reconciliation blame when discrepancies emerge later.

AI is sitting alongside you hereCapture proof of delivery at each stop using a DSD mobile app: obtain electronic customer signatures, photograph delivered merchandise, log any quantity discrepancies or refused items with standardized exception codes, and confirm the record syncs to the back-office system before leaving the stop.

Capture proof of delivery at each stop using a DSD mobile app: obtain electronic customer signatures, photograph delivered merchandise, log any quantity discrepancies or refused items with standardized exception codes, and confirm the record syncs to the back-office system before leaving the stop.[7],[11]

Where your edge is

Treat exception logging as a quality signal, not paperwork. Accurate shortage and refusal codes feed the demand-planning system that determines future load sizes. Drivers who log cleanly reduce disputes, cut invoice correction cycles, and build the data record that protects them when customers dispute deliveries.

AI is sitting alongside you hereCollect payment at delivery using the DSD mobile app: issue itemized electronic invoices, accept cash, check, or card tap-to-pay via paired reader, apply credits or returns in-app, and reconcile the stop total before departure.

Collect payment at delivery using the DSD mobile app: issue itemized electronic invoices, accept cash, check, or card tap-to-pay via paired reader, apply credits or returns in-app, and reconcile the stop total before departure.[10],[1]

Tools picking this up
Where your edge is

Learn the reconciliation and dispute-resolution workflow in the DSD platform -- most payment discrepancies are resolved faster when the driver can pull up the exact electronic record at the stop rather than waiting for back-office to investigate paper receipts days later.

Where driver/sales workers go next

Natural next steps for someone with your foundation: not exits, evolutions.

What each move takes

Route drivers who own deep account relationships across a territory often outperform inside sales candidates when distributors or manufacturers open territory rep positions. The driver already knows which buyers are price-sensitive, which accounts run promotions, and which contacts make purchasing decisions -- intelligence that takes an outside hire several months to build. The transition requires shifting from physical execution to pipeline management, CRM literacy, and formal sales process, but the account knowledge is the moat. Food and beverage distributors regularly promote high-performing route drivers to sales rep roles.

What you'd add
  • · Formal sales methodology (consultative selling, SPIN, or challenger model)
  • · CRM platform fluency (Salesforce, HubSpot, or distributor-specific system)
  • · Sales pipeline management: opportunity tracking, forecasting, and quota reporting
  • · Negotiation and contract terms for wholesale trade accounts
What it takesSome new skills to pick up
Tools of the era

How has the work of driver/sales workers changed since 1880?

The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Horse-drawn delivery wagon (urban route era)

    The original route driver traveled by horse-drawn wagon: a milk wagon in the early morning, a bread wagon mid-day, a produce or ice wagon through the afternoon. The wagon itself was purpose-built for frequent stops, with a low load floor and easy access. Route management was entirely in the driver's head: which households were regulars, which owed money from the last delivery, which wanted an extra quart on Saturdays. Orders were taken verbally or via hand-written notes left in empty bottles. The horse itself was an active co-worker: city horses on established milk routes often knew the stop pattern and walked to the next house while the driver ran to the door.

    Effect on the work

    At its peak, the horse-drawn delivery workforce supported a huge secondary industry of stable workers, harness makers, and farriers. Manhattan's working horses in 1900 required thousands of tons of manure to be removed daily from city streets, a notable discomfort that motivated rapid motorization.

  • Multi-stop motorized delivery truck (Divco, Pak-Age-Car, Ford Model T conversions)

    The Detroit Industrial Vehicle Company (Divco) produced its first multi-stop milk delivery truck in 1926, specifically engineered for the stop-and-go rhythm of a route: a stand-up driving position, the Step-N-Drive combined clutch-and-brake pedal, and a low floor height that let the driver step out at every address without fully sitting down. The Pak-Age-Car had appeared a year earlier. These vehicles replaced horse-drawn wagons in most cities through the late 1920s and 1930s, extending the range of each route from a few city blocks to an entire neighborhood. Ford Model T and Model A trucks served smaller routes. The motorized truck did not change the selling and accounting side of the job at all: drivers still carried paper order books, made change from a coin pouch, and wrote invoices by hand at each stop.

    Effect on the work

    Motorization expanded the territory each driver could cover, which simultaneously increased productivity per driver and reduced the total number of drivers needed for a given market. That pattern recurred with each subsequent technology wave. Ford Model T-based deliveries replaced horse-drawn wagons quickly in the 1919-1925 period as feed and care costs made horses uneconomical in dense urban routes.

  • Paper manifests, carbon-copy invoices, and the Teamsters route book

    Through the 1960s and 1970s, route management was a paper-and-memory craft. The driver arrived at the depot each morning with a manifest listing that day's stops and the products loaded for each account. At each stop, a multi-part carbon invoice was filled out by hand: customer name, items delivered, quantities, prices, total due. One copy stayed with the customer; the driver retained the carbon. At end of day, the driver totaled the cash collected, reconciled the invoices against the load-out, and submitted the packet to the dispatcher. Discrepancies between the driver's count and headquarters were a persistent and costly problem: Frito-Lay estimated $4 million annually in accounting discrepancies in the early 1980s before their handheld rollout. The Teamsters Brotherhood of Teamsters Chauffeurs Warehousemen and Helpers represented large segments of this workforce during the regulated era, negotiating both wages and working conditions including route ownership rights that gave some drivers a form of tenure over their customer lists.

  • Handheld computers for route sales (Frito-Lay 1986, Fujitsu-based, $40M rollout)

    In 1986 Frito-Lay equipped its 10,000 route sales representatives with handheld computers developed in partnership with Fujitsu, the first mass deployment of mobile computing devices in a route-sales workforce anywhere in the world. The devices replaced paper manifests and carbon invoices: drivers entered deliveries, payments, and inventory data directly into the handheld; at the end of the day, the device docked at a distribution-center terminal and synced to the corporate mainframe in Plano, Texas overnight. Pricing and promotion changes pushed back from headquarters arrived the next morning. The project cost $40 million and saved each sales rep an average of five hours per week in end-of-day paperwork. It also eliminated the $4 million annual accounting-discrepancy problem almost entirely. Within a decade, competing DSD operators and regional food distributors followed with their own mobile computing platforms.

    Effect on the work

    The Frito-Lay handheld deployment reduced back-office reconciliation staff while freeing route drivers for more selling time. The net employment effect was roughly neutral for drivers; it was transformative for the back-office accounting function. The five hours per week of recovered time was typically reallocated to additional sales calls, not to reduced working hours.

  • DSD mobile platforms and route optimization software (bMobile, OptimoRoute, Motive)

    The smartphone era brought route optimization from the Frito-Lay model (custom hardware, proprietary software) to commodity cloud platforms accessible to any distributor. OptimoRoute (founded 2013) and bMobile Route Software could optimize multi-stop routes in seconds, push real-time reroutes to the driver app, capture GPS-stamped electronic signatures for proof of delivery, handle payment collection via paired card readers, and compile end-of-day reconciliation reports automatically. bMobile claimed an hour saved per driver per day and 98% inventory accuracy as baseline outcomes. For route drivers, the shift meant the paper manifest and carbon invoice disappeared entirely: the job became a sequence of app-guided stops, each with a structured checklist of deliver, photograph, sign, and collect. The relational selling layer at each stop remained entirely human.

  • AI telematics and Physical AI coaching (Samsara Coach, fleet safety AI, 2022-present)

    Samsara and similar fleet telematics platforms introduced AI video analysis of every driving event: harsh braking, distracted driving, lane departure, pedestrian proximity. Samsara's Physical AI platform, launched in March 2026, proactively warns of collision risk using computer vision trained on trillions of data points and delivers real-time in-cab voice coaching. For the driver/sales worker, this means safety performance is now continuously scored and quantified: a clean telematics record is a portable credential that insurers and fleet managers can pull instantly. Route optimization continues to advance: AI-sequenced multi-stop routes factor in traffic, time-window constraints, and vehicle load capacity in real time. The selling interaction at each account stop remains the last fully human element: AI tools can surface which products to pitch based on account history, but the conversation, the relationship, and the physical stocking of shelves all belong to the driver.

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Driver/Sales Workers employment and pay by year

On record since1880
Latest US employment409,180 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Latest US median pay$38,770 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Outlook+7.9% by 2035Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Official statisticReport an error
View all 28 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
YearUS employmentAnnual pay (median unless marked)SourceReport
190080,000n/aEst., The Henry Ford Blog Researched contextReport
1930350,000n/aEst., Wikipedia Researched contextReport
1955600,000$3,800Est., The History of Frito-Lay (employment) Researched contextEst., University of Missouri Libraries (pay) Researched contextReport
1975400,000$12,500Est., The Day the Milkman Went Away (employment) Researched contextEst., FRASER / BLS Bulletin 1548 (pay) Researched contextReport
2000475,000$26,000Est., O*NET 53-3031.00 (employment) Researched contextEst., BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook (pay) Researched contextReport
2003380,120$20,370BLS OEWS May 2003 Official statisticReport
2004406,910$20,090BLS OEWS May 2004 Official statisticReport
2005400,530$20,120BLS OEWS May 2005 Official statisticReport
2006396,680$20,770BLS OEWS May 2006 Official statisticReport
2007382,360$21,380BLS OEWS May 2007 Official statisticReport
2008372,720$22,260BLS OEWS May 2008 Official statisticReport
2009363,050$22,740BLS OEWS May 2009 Official statisticReport
2010371,670$22,540BLS OEWS May 2010 Official statisticReport
2011387,950$22,770BLS OEWS May 2011 Official statisticReport
2012394,110$22,670BLS OEWS May 2012 Official statisticReport
2013396,470$22,720BLS OEWS May 2013 Official statisticReport
2014405,810$22,250BLS OEWS May 2014 Official statisticReport
2015417,660$22,450BLS OEWS May 2015 Official statisticReport
2016426,310$22,830BLS OEWS May 2016 Official statisticReport
2017426,870$24,040BLS OEWS May 2017 Official statisticReport
2018414,860$24,700BLS OEWS May 2018 Official statisticReport
2019444,660$25,860BLS OEWS May 2019 Official statisticReport
2020420,890$27,960BLS OEWS May 2020 Official statisticReport
2021477,020$29,280BLS OEWS May 2021 Official statisticReport
2022489,510$32,690BLS OEWS May 2022 Official statisticReport
2023463,120$35,420BLS OEWS May 2023 Official statisticReport
2024417,420$37,130BLS OEWS May 2024 Official statisticReport
2025409,180$38,770BLS OEWS May 2025 Official statisticReport
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