Skip to sources
Time Machine

Agricultural Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary

Scrub through 174years of this role's history, from when it first emerged, through every wave of technology that reshaped it, to the cited projections for where it's heading next.

2026drag to travel through time
187519001925195019752000now
2026
Known today as Agricultural Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary (BLS SOC 25-1041)
Latest actual · 2024
11K
BLS OEWS May 2024 employment, sourced from O*NET which reflects the same BLS establishment-survey figure. Employment is concentrated at land-grant universities: 95% of positions are at state and local government-affiliated educational institutions. The occupation has remained remarkably stable in the 7,000-11,000 range across its OEWS-trackable history, a reflection of the fixed number of land-grant institutions (approximately 57 major 1862 institutions plus 19 1890 HBCUs) that generate almost all demand for these faculty.
Latest actual · 2024
$86,350
Source: BLS-OEWS
Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.
Beat · 2025

USDA NIFA's Artificial Intelligence program within the Agriculture and Food Research Initiative (AFRI) actively funds research and applications of AI across agricultural systems, including machine learning, remote sensing, satellite imagery, drones, and precision technologies. The program signals federal recognition that AI tools in agriculture require faculty and researchers who can bridge automated agronomic recommendations with local soil, weather, and cropping-system knowledge -- sustaining demand for agricultural sciences faculty at land-grant institutions.

Tools of the era

The tools that defined the work

Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Field demonstration and chalk lecture (founding land-grant era)

    The earliest agricultural sciences professors at land-grant colleges taught with no specialized equipment beyond a blackboard, field plots, and whatever livestock or crop specimens the college maintained. Teaching was demonstration-based: showing students how to apply lime to acid soil, how to select healthy seed corn, how to drain a wet field. Research was rudimentary: professors observed crop performance in small plots and published descriptive bulletins. The dominant technology of instruction was the professor's own embodied knowledge, transferred in person. The absence of laboratory instrumentation meant that most early agricultural science faculty were generalists who covered the entire domain from animal husbandry to soil fertility within a single course sequence.

    Work toolChanging equipment
  • Agricultural experiment station laboratory (Hatch Act era)

    The Hatch Act of 1887 provided each land-grant college $15,000 annually to establish a permanent agricultural experiment station. For faculty, this was the first time research infrastructure was guaranteed: soil chemistry labs, plot replications, seed testing facilities, and statistical record-keeping. Teaching and research became formally intertwined. Faculty who had previously relied on observation and demonstration now conducted controlled experiments with measurable outcomes, published in new journals (Journal of the American Society of Agronomy, founded 1907), and presented results at national meetings. The experiment station era professionalized the role: faculty were now scientists who taught, not teachers who dabbled in science.

    Effect on the work

    The experiment station infrastructure roughly doubled the productive research output of each agricultural sciences faculty member compared to the pre-Hatch era, and created the template of the "faculty scientist" that governs the role today.

    Work toolChanging equipment
  • Cooperative extension publications and farm demonstration (Smith-Lever Act era)

    The Smith-Lever Act of 1914 codified the third leg of the land-grant faculty mission: extension. Faculty now generated printed bulletins, hosted farm demonstrations, and collaborated with county extension agents to translate experiment station findings to farming communities. The mimeograph and later the photocopier allowed faculty to distribute research findings at scale for the first time. The extension mission also shaped teaching: agricultural sciences faculty were expected to connect classroom content to current problems facing real farmers in their state, a contextual grounding that distinguished them from pure-science faculty. Seaman Knapp, credited as the founder of the cooperative extension concept, had pioneered the farm-demonstration teaching model that the Smith-Lever Act nationalized.

    Work toolChanging equipment
  • Statistical computing and Green Revolution genetics (IBM mainframe era)

    The 1960s introduced statistical computing to agricultural research, allowing faculty to run analysis of variance on multi-year, multi-location field trials without months of hand calculation. IBM mainframes installed at land-grant computing centers in the mid-1960s transformed the scale of field-trial analysis faculty could perform. Simultaneously, the Green Revolution -- the development of high-yielding cereal varieties through systematic plant breeding -- gave agricultural sciences faculty access to powerful new methodological tools: hybridization, genetic line development, and controlled environmental testing. Faculty who mastered statistical computing and genetics-informed plant breeding protocols produced far more publishable research per year than their predecessors. The land-grant system became a global model, with US faculty collaborating with CGIAR international agricultural research centers established in the 1970s.

    Effect on the work

    Statistical computing roughly tripled the scale of field-trial analysis agricultural scientists could conduct per season. The Green Revolution era produced the publication productivity norms that shaped land-grant faculty tenure expectations for the next 40 years.

    Mainframe processingComputerized records
  • Personal computer and statistical software (SAS, SPSS, spreadsheet era)

    The PC era democratized statistical analysis: SAS (developed at NC State for agricultural research) and SPSS moved from mainframe-only to desktop access in the mid-1980s, giving every agricultural sciences faculty member on-demand access to mixed-model analysis, regression, and survival analysis without batch computing queues. Word processing replaced typewritten manuscripts, email replaced postal correspondence with extension agents and collaborators, and the early web gave faculty access to USDA NASS crop statistics and NOAA climate data without library requests. The PC era also introduced the first generation of precision agriculture tools: yield monitors on combines (early 1990s), GPS-guided soil sampling, and GIS mapping of field variability, which became both research tools and course content for faculty teaching crop management.

    Spreadsheet eraModels and analysis
  • Precision agriculture platforms and remote sensing (GIS, yield mapping, drone imagery)

    The 2000s and 2010s brought commercial precision agriculture platforms into both the research lab and the classroom. Climate FieldView (launched 2012 as the Climate Corporation, acquired by Bayer 2018) aggregated yield-monitor data, soil sampling grids, and satellite imagery at the field level, giving faculty a commercial-scale data platform to analyze in agronomy courses. Drone-based remote sensing allowed affordable high-resolution field imagery for disease scouting and biomass estimation, replacing expensive manned aircraft surveys. Faculty who integrated these platforms into course sequences gave students exposure to tools they would use immediately in agronomist careers. The era also saw the first wave of machine learning applied to agricultural research: neural networks for plant disease identification, random forests for yield prediction from climate and soil variables, and sensor-fusion approaches to livestock health monitoring.

    Work toolChanging equipment
  • AI-native precision agriculture and research tools (CropX, Julius AI, Elicit, LLM research assistants)

    The 2020s brought an AI-native toolstack to agricultural sciences teaching and research. AI-driven soil sensing platforms such as CropX provide real-time moisture, temperature, and nutrient dashboards for irrigation and fertility management courses. Research tools such as Julius AI and Elicit allow faculty to analyze field-trial datasets and synthesize literature with natural-language queries, compressing hours of statistical scripting or literature searching into minutes. USDA NIFA's AI in Agriculture program within AFRI is funding research and applications of machine learning, remote sensing, satellite imagery, drones, and precision technologies across agricultural systems. Faculty who can critically evaluate AI-generated agronomic prescriptions in local soil and weather context are increasingly valuable to land-grant institutions navigating this transition.

    Effect on the work

    Early evidence from land-grant faculty surveys suggests AI research tools are cutting literature synthesis time by 40-60% and routine data analysis by comparable amounts, shifting faculty effort toward higher-order tasks: experimental design, field interpretation, and mentoring.

    AI audit toolsPattern detection
Projection cone · present → 2034

What credible sources project

Scrub the slider past now to anchor each scenario on the scrubber. The spread is the range of futures credible sources project for this role.

Employment outlook
Projected change in the number of people doing this work.
BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook 2024-34 (Postsecondary Teachers, broader category)
2034
+7%
BLS OOH projects overall postsecondary teacher employment to grow 7% from 2024-2034, faster than the all-occupations average of 4%, driven by growing higher-education enrollment and expanding online and hybrid programs. Agricultural sciences teachers (25-1041) are a subset of this category; their specific projection (+4.1%) is somewhat below the broader postsecondary teacher projection because agricultural college enrollment at land-grant institutions is more stable and less growth-driven than community colleges, for-profit institutions, and online programs that are growing fastest. The broader postsecondary teacher projection is included here as an upper-bound reference for the sector tailwind.
BLS National Employment Matrix 2024-34
2034
+4.1%
BLS Employment Projections industry-occupation matrix for educational services. The 2024-34 cycle projects +4.1% growth for 25-1041, from 10,700 (2024) to 11,200 (2034), an addition of approximately 400 positions. This is classified as "average" growth (3-4% range per O*NET). The BLS methodology models continued demand from land-grant institutions needing faculty to teach precision-ag AI integration, food-systems sustainability, and climate-adaptive agronomy. With approximately 800 job openings per year (from both growth and replacement need), the projection reflects a stable, modestly growing occupation rather than one facing displacement pressure. The projection does not model the possibility that generative AI dramatically reduces the number of graduate students pursuing agricultural sciences PhDs, which could indirectly reduce faculty demand over a longer horizon.
AI task exposure
Share of the role’s tasks that researchers estimate AI can do. This is a measure of task exposure, not a forecast of jobs lost.
Eloundou et al. -- GPTs are GPTs (2023/2024)
2028
20%
of tasks
GPT-4 task-by-task LLM exposure labeling on O*NET tasks for postsecondary teaching occupations. Agricultural sciences teachers score in the low-to-medium range for LLM exposure: the tasks most exposed to LLM automation are lecture preparation, literature synthesis for curriculum updates, standard assessment creation, and routine written feedback on problem sets. The tasks most resistant to LLM automation are field and greenhouse supervision, hands-on experimental guidance, research mentorship requiring local ecological knowledge, and extension engagement with farming communities. The 20% estimate reflects the fraction of annual working time occupied by the automatable task cluster, not a forecast of job losses. Eloundou et al. estimate that approximately 80% of the US workforce has at least 10% of tasks exposed; for agricultural sciences teachers the exposed fraction is real but modest, concentrated in the preparation and assessment layers of the role.
Frey and Osborne (2013)
2033
3%
of tasks
Gaussian-process classifier on O*NET task features. Frey and Osborne placed postsecondary teachers in the lowest-risk category for computerization overall: their analysis found that the creative problem-solving, complex social judgment, and hands-on field supervision tasks that define the role presented the highest bottlenecks to automation. Agricultural sciences teaching specifically was not broken out in the 2013 paper, but the postsecondary teacher category received an estimated 3% probability of computerization, making it one of the safest occupations in the study. The field-supervision and living-system elements of agricultural sciences teaching, which Frey and Osborne's task-feature model would score as high in "manual dexterity" and "working in cramped or awkward positions," contribute additional automation resistance beyond the generic postsecondary-teacher floor.
Today, in this role

What's shifting in the work right now

The historical view above shows how this role has moved. This is the present-day detail: which AI tools are picking up which tasks, where the edge still is, and the natural directions this work can grow.

What's changing in your day

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you hereEvaluate and grade student laboratory reports, field data analyses, and written assignments — using Gradescope AI-assisted answer grouping for structured problem sets and short-answer items in soil science, crop physiology, and pest management, then applying expert agronomic judgment to assess whether students' field-data interpretations are agronomically sound and locally contextualized in ways automated scoring cannot evaluate.

Evaluate and grade student laboratory reports, field data analyses, and written assignments — using Gradescope AI-assisted answer grouping for structured problem sets and short-answer items in soil science, crop physiology, and pest management, then applying expert agronomic judgment to assess whether students' field-data interpretations are agronomically sound and locally contextualized in ways automated scoring cannot evaluate.[10],[1]

Tools picking this up
Where your edge is

Deploy Gradescope for all agricultural sciences assessments with deterministic answers — nutrient calculation problems, pesticide label math, soil texture classification from particle-size data, yield-loss estimation. Reserve expert effort for the qualitatively hard judgment: is this student's interpretation of their yield-monitor data agronomically coherent given the soil variability map? Is the proposed fertility recommendation consistent with the soil test results and crop removal rates? Use Turnitin AI detection as a flag for deeper scrutiny — not as standalone evidence — and supplement with oral defenses of field data interpretations for high-stakes assignments.

AI is sitting alongside you herePrepare course materials — syllabi, lecture slides, problem sets, and field lab protocols — using ChatGPT Edu to generate first-draft lecture content on crop rotation principles, soil fertility management, or integrated pest management, then editing with domain expertise to ensure agronomic accuracy, local relevance, and alignment with current USDA and state extension recommendations.

Prepare course materials — syllabi, lecture slides, problem sets, and field lab protocols — using ChatGPT Edu to generate first-draft lecture content on crop rotation principles, soil fertility management, or integrated pest management, then editing with domain expertise to ensure agronomic accuracy, local relevance, and alignment with current USDA and state extension recommendations.[1],[11]

Where your edge is

Use ChatGPT Edu to generate a first-draft 40-slide lecture on cover crop management systems or a problem set on soil nutrient balance calculations — it will produce reasonable structure and standard agronomic content. Then invest expert effort in verifying local relevance (does this apply to the corn-soybean systems your students will work in, or to wheat systems in a different region?), checking currency against the latest USDA or state extension bulletins, and adding field-specific nuance from your own research. AI accelerates the scaffolding phase; agronomic accuracy and regional calibration require the expert.

AI is sitting alongside you hereStay current with developments in agricultural sciences by synthesizing research literature, attending professional conferences (ASA-CSSA-SSSA Annual Meeting, Agronomy Society), and engaging with extension colleagues — using Elicit, Consensus, and Scite to reduce literature synthesis time and identify emerging research trends in precision agriculture, crop genomics, and soil health that should be incorporated into curricula.

Stay current with developments in agricultural sciences by synthesizing research literature, attending professional conferences (ASA-CSSA-SSSA Annual Meeting, Agronomy Society), and engaging with extension colleagues — using Elicit, Consensus, and Scite to reduce literature synthesis time and identify emerging research trends in precision agriculture, crop genomics, and soil health that should be incorporated into curricula.[12],[13]

Where your edge is

Use Elicit to run structured literature searches ("what is the current evidence on cover crop effects on soil nitrate leaching in the Midwest corn belt, 2020–2025?") that surface relevant papers in minutes rather than hours; use Consensus to identify where there is strong scientific agreement versus active debate on topics like soil carbon trading or nitrogen use efficiency benchmarks; use Scite to identify which papers supporting a claim have been contradicted by subsequent research. Invest the recovered time in conference networking and extension engagement — the relationship capital with practitioners and county agents is the context that makes literature synthesis agronomically meaningful.

Where this role is heading

Natural next steps for someone with your foundation: not exits, evolutions.

A direction you could grow

Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers

Agricultural sciences faculty — particularly those with farm backgrounds, land ownership, or strong connections to the production agriculture community — increasingly move into AgTech management, precision agriculture consulting, and farm management advisory roles as AI transforms the production agriculture sector. This is not traditional "go back to farming" but rather leveraging academic expertise in AI-augmented agronomy for high-value management roles: managing large-scale data-driven farming operations for institutional landowners (REITs, university endowment farms), leading precision agriculture adoption programs for large commodity producers, or directing agribusiness AI strategy at crop input companies. The CRI delta is positive and larger than usual because production-scale agricultural management with AI tools is growing rapidly in compensation and scope, and faculty who bring both the academic agronomic depth and the AI platform literacy are disproportionately competitive for these roles.

What you'd add
  • · Enterprise precision agriculture platform management: integrating Climate FieldView, John Deere Operations Center, and CropX across a multi-farm operation
  • · Farm financial management and cash-flow analysis for large-scale commercial production operations
  • · Agricultural lease negotiation, cash rent benchmarking, and farmland valuation for institutional landowner advisory roles
  • · USDA Farm Service Agency program administration: commodity programs, conservation compliance (HEL/WOD), and crop insurance basics
  • · AgTech vendor evaluation: assessing AI precision-ag tool ROI for commercial-scale operations and building internal adoption roadmaps
What it takesSome new skills to pick up
Share this year
Drops anyone you send it to straight into 2026.
Preview card
Part of Education · see all 51roles →
Different role?

See the same long-arc view for your own profession.

Browse the directory by industry, or search by title or SOC code. New roles ship every few weeks. Every profile cites every claim.

Browse all roles

The data behind this timeline

On record since1862
Latest tracked employment10,700 (US, 2024)
Latest median pay$86,350 (2024)
Outlook+4.1% by 2034 (BLS National Employment Matrix 2024-34)
View all 29 cited data points
YearUS employmentMedian annual paySource
1870250n/aESTIMATE
19001,500n/aESTIMATE
19203,500n/aESTIMATE
19507,000n/aESTIMATE
197011,000n/aESTIMATE
1972n/a$13,200ESTIMATE
19909,500$42,000ESTIMATE
200311,260$65,470BLS-OEWS
200410,230$65,190BLS-OEWS
200511,460$71,330BLS-OEWS
200610,120$75,140BLS-OEWS
200710,700$78,460BLS-OEWS
200810,000$74,390BLS-OEWS
200910,230$77,210BLS-OEWS
201010,600$78,370BLS-OEWS
201110,170$79,900BLS-OEWS
201210,500$80,490BLS-OEWS
201310,120$83,060BLS-OEWS
20149,890$86,260BLS-OEWS
20159,680$90,780BLS-OEWS
201610,340$91,580BLS-OEWS
201710,800$86,140BLS-OEWS
201810,810$84,640BLS-OEWS
20199,470$83,260BLS-OEWS
20208,520$90,340BLS-OEWS
20218,570$95,910BLS-OEWS
20228,240$85,860BLS-OEWS
20237,550$88,080BLS-OEWS
202410,700$86,350BLS-OEWS
Embed this timeline on your site

Free for any site. Paste this where the timeline should appear; it stays interactive, every datapoint stays cited, and it sets no cookies on your page. How embedding works

<iframe src="https://futurehistory.earth/embed/25-1041"
  width="100%" height="430" style="border:0"
  title="Agricultural Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary, a Future History timeline"
  loading="lazy"></iframe>

See all roles in Education