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Time Machine

Orderlies

In brief

In May 2025, BLS counted 52,440 US orderlies, with median pay of $38,290 a year. The earliest figure here is an estimate of 37,900 from 1959, not measured the same way as today's count. The last full technology era for orderlies: Autonomous mobile robots for supply transport, 2004 to 2020. No published study has isolated the employment effect of TUG robots on orderly headcount specifically.

Official statistic: latest count and pay.Researched context: earliest figure.

What the sources say

Official outlook

BLS projects employment to grow 4% from 2025 to 2035.

BLS Employment Projections 2025-35

Official statistic

AI exposure studies

  • 4.7% of this job's tasks are exposed to large language models. Not a forecast of job losses. Eloundou and others, 2023 Official statistic

Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35.

Last updated .

Cite this page
APA

Future History. (2026, October 11). Orderlies: jobs and pay since 1959 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/31-1132

Chicago

Future History. "Orderlies: jobs and pay since 1959." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified October 11, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/31-1132.

BibTeX

@misc{futurehistory_31_1132, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Orderlies: jobs and pay since 1959}, year = {2026}, month = oct, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/31-1132}}, note = {Last updated 2026-10-11. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }

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187519001925195019752000now
2026
Known then as Hospital Attendant / Ward Attendant (Civil War and Reconstruction era)
Known then as Hospital Orderly / Orderly (Army Hospital Corps formalization era)
Known then as Orderly / Nursing Aide (pre-OBRA combined-category era)
Known then as Orderly (post-OBRA differentiated from Nurse Aide / CNA)
Known then as Orderlies (BLS SOC 31-1132)
Known today as Orderlies (BLS SOC 31-1132)
Projected to still be called Orderlies (BLS SOC 31-1132)
Data from the May 2025 survey
US Employment
52K
Est.

Stated in source: BLS OEWS

Official statistic
Report an error
Median Annual Wage
$38,290
Est.

≈ $37,308 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)

Official statistic
Report an error
Beat · 1862

As the Union expands its general hospital system during the Civil War, large facilities like Armory Square Hospital in Washington (which Walt Whitman volunteers at as a nurse) and Chimborazo Hospital in Richmond (150 wards, 4,500 patients at peak) begin employing male attendants assigned specifically to patient transport, ward maintenance, and supply carrying. These "hospital attendants" or "ward attendants" are the direct institutional predecessors of the modern orderly role, performing physically demanding work outside the scope of the trained nurse.

Beat · 1886

The U.S. Army formally establishes the Hospital Corps to recruit and train competent medical enlisted personnel. Corps members are instructed in "cooking, horseback riding, horse care, first aid, anatomy, physiology, nursing and pharmacy" before being assigned as nurses, cooks, or medical attendants at posts. This formalization gives the attendant role an official training curriculum and grade structure for the first time, distinguishing the trained hospital orderly from a general laborer. The Corps reaches approximately 6,000 personnel during the Spanish-American War (1898).

Beat · 1930

By the interwar period, Black men and women can gain hospital employment almost exclusively as orderlies, cooks, and ward maids. At University of Virginia Hospital, a strict occupational hierarchy reserves administrative, trade, and clinical positions for white employees while confining Black workers to orderly and domestic roles. In 1942, night-shift orderlies at UVA numbering between 62 and 76 begin organizing through Local 550 of the State, County and Municipal Workers of America over wages and the 72-hour workweek. By 1944 they achieve a reduction to 48 hours and win overtime pay, though Virginia law prohibits formal union recognition.

Beat · 1959

On May 8, 1959, 3,500 workers from seven New York City voluntary hospitals walk out in a strike organized by Local 1199. The strikers include nurses's aides, dietary aides, orderlies, dishwashers, porters, and laundry workers; 85% are African American or Hispanic. Many are paid $32 a week for a 48-hour week. The 46-day strike wins a $40/week minimum wage, the five-day 40-hour week, time-and-a-half for overtime, and a guaranteed wage increase. It is one of the defining labor actions in healthcare history and marks the beginning of organized bargaining power for the hospital support workforce.

Beat · 1987

The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1987 (OBRA 1987) includes the Federal Nursing Home Reform Act, which requires certified nurse aides to complete at least 75 hours of classroom instruction plus supervised practical experience and pass a state competency evaluation before working in Medicare- or Medicaid-funded skilled nursing facilities. The legislation sharpens the line between the CNA, who performs hands-on bedside care, and the orderly, who focuses on patient transport and logistics. Over the following decade the previously bundled "nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants" category in government statistics splinters into distinct occupations, and the specifically "orderly" headcount settles at a far smaller number than the combined pre-OBRA group.

Beat · 2004

Aethon deploys its first TUG autonomous mobile robot in a hospital, inaugurating a new era of logistics automation in acute care. TUGs navigate hospital corridors independently, communicating with elevators and fire doors via Wi-Fi, to deliver medications, linens, meals, and lab specimens. By 2018 TUGs are running in over 100 hospitals. The robots take over the supply-delivery component of orderly work but not patient transport: moving a patient on a gurney requires physical contact, situational judgment, and interpersonal communication that autonomous systems as of 2026 cannot reliably perform at scale.

How to read this number

OEWS is a point-in-time survey snapshot, not a continuous time series; BLS advises against using it for year-over-year trend comparison.

Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.

Official statistic: Copied by a script from a statistics agency table or a published study's table, not retyped by hand. BLS figures, ONS ASHE figures (UK pay and jobs) and the forecast and exposure tables are also re-checked against that table on every data run. Researched context: Researched from the cited source rather than copied from it by a script, so it is not machine-checked yet. Spot a mistake? Each figure has a “Report an error” link.

Cited forecasts · present → 2035

Will AI replace orderlies? What the research says

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.

What published forecasts say
Forecast change in the number of people doing this work, as published by each named source. Bars share one scale on every role, centred on zero and reaching the end at ±30%. Grey marks a small change, 3% or less either way.
  • BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
    Target year 2035
    +4%
    BLS National Employment Matrix, 2025-35 cycle, line for SOC 31-1132 (Orderlies): 52.8 thousand jobs in 2025, projected 54.9 thousand in 2035, a change of +2.1 thousand (+4.0%). Matrix employment counts all jobs in the occupation, including self-employed workers. The average for all occupations in this cycle is +3.5%.
    Official statisticReport an error
How exposed is this work to AI (research measures)
Scores as published by each study. Each row says what it measures. These measure what AI could technically do, not forecasts of jobs lost.
  • Eloundou et al. (2023), "GPTs are GPTs"
    2023 study · Share of tasks exposed to LLMs (β, human-rated)
    4.7%
    of tasks
    What this measures

    Published occupation-level exposure from the paper's occ_level.csv for O*NET-SOC 31-1132.00 Orderlies. Shown: human-rated β = 0.047, the share of the occupation's tasks an LLM could do in at least half the time at equal quality, counting tasks that need LLM-powered software at half weight (β = E1 + 0.5 × E2). Other published measures for this occupation: human-rated α (LLM alone) 0 and γ (all LLM-assisted) 0.094; GPT-4-rated β 0. This measures how much of the work an LLM could touch, not how many jobs disappear.

    Official statisticReport an error
Today, in this role

What's changing day to day for orderlies

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you here Lift or assist others to lift patients to move them on or off…

beds, examination tables, surgical tables, or stretchers.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you here Transport patients to treatment units, testing units…

, operating rooms, or other areas, using wheelchairs, stretchers, or moveable beds.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you here Disinfect or sterilize equipment or supplies…

, using germicides or sterilizing equipment.[2]

Where your edge is

Tools of the era

How has the work of orderlies changed since 1862?

The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Manual stretcher and wheeled litter (Civil War to early-century hospital)

    The orderly's core tool in the Civil War era was the stretcher: a simple canvas-and-pole frame used to transport wounded soldiers from field stations to general hospitals. After the war, civilian hospitals adopted the wheeled litter and the hand-pushed invalid carriage (a precursor to the wheelchair) for patient transport inside wards. The physical demands were severe: orderlies lifted, moved, and repositioned patients without mechanical assistance, and ward floors were often uneven wooden boards or stone. No technology mediated the interaction between orderly and patient; the work was entirely embodied.

  • Hospital wheelchair, gurney, and dumbwaiter (interwar through postwar hospital expansion)

    The steel-framed folding wheelchair, refined in the 1930s and mass-produced after the Veterans Administration post-World War II rehabilitation programs drove demand, became the standard orderly transport device. Alongside it, the wheeled gurney (stretcher on a frame with casters) replaced the hand-carried stretcher for internal hospital transport. Service elevators and dumbwaiters moved supplies and linen between floors, reducing the vertical-transport labor that had previously required orderlies to carry loads up stairs. The 1930s-1960s also saw hospitals standardize ward layouts to shorten transport distances, reducing physical strain but not headcount. Orderlies at mid-century were responsible for all patient transport, supply distribution, and the movement of soiled linen and waste, roles they performed without electronic tracking or scheduling tools.

  • Pneumatic tube systems and computerized nurse-call (first logistics automation)

    Hospitals began installing pneumatic tube networks in the 1950s for laboratory samples and medications, and by the 1970s these systems were widespread in large acute-care hospitals. Computerized nurse-call and intercom systems arrived in the same era. Together these technologies automated the movement of small items (lab specimens, medication cartridges, paperwork) that had previously required an orderly to walk the route. The result was a modest reduction in the trip volume orderlies handled, freeing them to concentrate on patient transport tasks that tubes cannot perform. The 1987 OBRA reform simultaneously sharpened the statutory line between orderlies and certified nursing assistants, shrinking the pre-OBRA combined category and concentrating the orderly role on its transport-and-logistics core.

  • Autonomous mobile robots for supply transport (Aethon TUG, deployed 2004)

    Aethon, a Pittsburgh robotics company founded in 2001, deployed its first TUG autonomous mobile robot in a hospital in 2004. The TUG navigated hospital corridors using onboard sensors and Wi-Fi-linked elevator calls, delivering medications, linens, meals, and lab specimens without human guidance. By 2018 TUGs were operating in more than a hundred hospitals. The technology automated the supply-delivery component of the orderly role at scale, freeing orderly time for patient transport tasks the robots could not handle. A TUG cannot assist an anxious or disoriented patient on a gurney, cannot interpret a patient's fall risk mid-transit, and cannot adjust to the dynamic social environment of an acute-care floor. The supply-delivery automation therefore compressed the orderly's task profile toward higher-complexity, person-facing work rather than eliminating the occupation.

    Effect on the work

    No published study has isolated the employment effect of TUG robots on orderly headcount specifically. The occupation's national employment figure was tens of thousands of throughout the 2000s-2010s, suggesting the supply-automation effect was offset by growing hospital volume rather than causing net job loss.

  • Smart beds, electronic transport tracking, and patient flow software

    Modern acute-care hospitals use bed-sensor systems (Hill-Rom, Stryker) that track patient position, weight, and fall risk; electronic patient flow platforms (TeleTracking, Epic Rover) that queue and prioritize transport requests; and radio-frequency identification (RFID) wristbands that log every patient movement through the facility. As of 2025-26 the mainstream daily-driver tool for an orderly is a smartphone or tablet running a transport dispatch app: the orderly receives a priority-queued request, navigates to the patient, scans the RFID wristband to confirm identity, and logs pickup and dropoff times. The human judgment in the loop (reading the patient's anxiety level, managing an unexpected change in condition mid-transit, communicating with nursing staff) is what the software still cannot perform. AI-assisted patient flow optimization is beginning to influence how transport requests are batched and prioritized, but as of 2026 the orderly remains the executing agent.

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Orderlies employment and pay by year

On record since1862
Latest US employment52,440 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Latest US median pay$38,290 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Outlook+4% by 2035Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Official statisticReport an error
View all 9 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
Orderlies in the US: employment and pay by year, with sources
YearUS employmentAnnual pay (median unless marked)SourceReport
195937,900$1,664 (average)Est., BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook 1961… (employment)[1] Researched contextEst., 1199SEIU (pay)[4] Researched contextReport
199978,000$17,975 (average)Est., GAO-01-750T[2] Researched contextReport
201946,990$28,980BLS OEWS May 2019[3] Official statisticReport
202043,570$30,030BLS OEWS May 2020[3] Official statisticReport
202145,160$29,990BLS OEWS May 2021[3] Official statisticReport
202244,790$34,520BLS OEWS May 2022[3] Official statisticReport
202348,710$36,830BLS OEWS May 2023[3] Official statisticReport
202453,020$37,700BLS OEWS May 2024[3] Official statisticReport
202552,440$38,290BLS OEWS May 2025[3] Official statisticReport
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