Machinery maintenance workers
Official title Maintenance Workers, Machinery (SOC 49-9043)
In brief
In May 2025, BLS counted 60,020 US machinery maintenance workers, with median pay of $60,850 a year. Of the BLS counts since 2003, the highest was 92,520, in May 2015. The earliest figure here is a Census count of 185,000 from 1940, not measured the same way as today's count. The last full technology era for machinery maintenance workers: PC-based CMMS and Windows-era maintenance scheduling software, 1995 to 2015. The PC-CMMS era coincided with the broader deindustrialization of the US manufacturing base.
Official statistic: latest count and pay, highest count.Researched context: earliest figure.
What the sources say
Official outlook
BLS projects employment to decline 1.9% from 2025 to 2035.
BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
Official statistic
Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. BLS publishes these counts as yearly survey snapshots and cautions against reading them as a precise trend. In May 2021 BLS changed how it estimates these counts (a model-based method using three years of survey data) and moved fully to the 2018 occupation codes, so part of a change across 2021 can come from the method rather than the work.
Last updated .
Cite this page
Future History. (2026, November 1). Machinery maintenance workers: jobs and pay since 1940 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/49-9043
Future History. "Machinery maintenance workers: jobs and pay since 1940." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified November 1, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/49-9043.
@misc{futurehistory_49_9043, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Machinery maintenance workers: jobs and pay since 1940}, year = {2026}, month = nov, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/49-9043}}, note = {Last updated 2026-11-01. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }
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≈ $59,290 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)
On December 18, 1898, five delegates to the 18th Annual Convention of the American Federation of Labor met to form the International Brotherhood of Stationary Firemen (IBSF), a union for workers who operated fixed steam boilers for power and heat generation. At this stage the union covered boiler firemen only; oilers and boiler room helpers were not part of the original jurisdiction. In 1919 the AFL expanded the union's mandate to include oilers and boiler room helpers, giving industrial lubrication workers their first formal union representation. The organization was commonly called the International Brotherhood of Firemen and Oilers for years before that name was officially adopted at the 1956 convention. The union organized workers in steel mills, paper mills, building heating plants, and public utilities and merged with SEIU in 1995 as the National Conference of Firemen and Oilers.
The ISO viscosity classification system for lubricating oils was formalized in the early 1920s, providing manufacturers and maintenance workers with a standardized language for specifying and applying lubricants. Before standardization, oil grades were informal and supplier-specific; a worker transferring between factories might find entirely different lubricant naming conventions. Standardized viscosity grades made lubrication routes more systematic and enabled the first printed lubrication schedules specifying oil grades by machine position.
On March 3, 1944, the American Society of Lubrication Engineers (ASLE) was founded in Chicago -- later renamed the Society of Tribologists and Lubrication Engineers (STLE). The founding represented the elevation of lubrication from a trade skill to a professional discipline: membership required formal technical knowledge of fluid film theory, lubricant chemistry, and machine design. While ASLE's members were engineers rather than the shop-floor oiler, the society produced the technical standards, testing protocols, and specification guidelines that the 49-9043 worker follows. The Jost Report of 1966, commissioned by the British government, coined the term "tribology" and estimated that poor lubrication practice cost the UK economy roughly 1.4% of GDP annually -- an early quantification of what the maintenance worker's job is actually worth.
The first computerized maintenance management systems (CMMS) appeared in US manufacturing in 1965, running on IBM mainframe computers with punch-card input. Only large manufacturers and government agencies could afford mainframe time, so CMMS adoption was initially limited to the largest industrial facilities. The work-order concept -- generating a task ticket for each lubrication point, assigning it to a worker, recording completion -- was the fundamental workflow innovation, and it persists unchanged into the tablet-based CMMS apps used in 2026. The difference is who generates the ticket: in 1965 a maintenance planner typed it on punch cards; in 2026 an IoT sensor anomaly triggers it automatically.
The Japanese Institute of Plant Maintenance awarded the first PM Prize to Nippondenso Co. (a Toyota supplier) in 1971, recognizing Total Productive Maintenance as a formally codified management system. TPM, developed by Seiichi Nakajima between 1950 and 1970, distributed basic maintenance tasks (cleaning, lubrication, inspection) to machine operators -- what TPM calls "autonomous maintenance" or Pillar 2. In factories that adopted lean manufacturing and TPM, autonomous maintenance transferred some routine lubrication work from dedicated maintenance workers to production operators, reducing the headcount of dedicated lubrication positions. Toyota suppliers that implemented full TPM reported reductions of 20-50% in machine downtime and corresponding changes in maintenance staffing ratios. The TPM model spread to the United States primarily through the auto supply chain in the 1980s and 1990s.
The IIoT manufacturing market reached $53.7 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow to $152.8 billion by 2032 at a 10.5% CAGR, according to market research. For the 49-9043 workforce, 2022 was roughly the year when IIoT-connected predictive maintenance crossed from early-adopter manufacturing sectors (aerospace, automotive OEM) into mainstream mid-market manufacturing. The BLS OEWS registered 62,770 workers in the occupation in May 2022, down from 65,240 in 2020 -- the beginning of a measurable acceleration in the long-running headcount compression. Facilities with mature IIoT deployments report maintenance interval extensions of 30-50% on well-monitored equipment, reducing the frequency of dispatching a 49-9043 worker to a specific machine.
Will AI replace machinery maintenance workers? What the research says
Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.
Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.
- BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Target year 2035
What's changing day to day for machinery maintenance workers
Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.
AI is sitting alongside you here Dismantle machines and remove parts for repair…
, using hand tools, chain falls, jacks, cranes, or hoists.[2]
AI is sitting alongside you here Reassemble machines after the completion of repair…
or maintenance work.[2]
AI is sitting alongside you here Lubricate or apply adhesives or other materials to machines…
, machine parts, or other equipment according to specified procedures.[2]
How has the work of machinery maintenance workers changed since 1860?
The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.
Oil can and grease pot (pre-industrial-chemistry lubrication)
The 19th-century factory oiler's entire kit fit in a leather satchel: a long-spout oil can for journal boxes and bearings, a grease pot and brush for slow-speed surfaces, cotton waste for wiping, and a schedule kept in the worker's own memory or on a handwritten card. The lubricants were crude by modern standards -- animal tallow, whale oil, and then mineral oil as Pennsylvania petroleum production ramped up after 1859. The oiler walked a defined route through the plant on each shift, touching every moving part on the checklist. There was no science to the intervals; experience and smell (hot metal, burning grease) were the primary diagnostic instruments. The job required physical access to every corner of the machine room, often in cramped, loud, and dangerous conditions.
Engineered lubricants and viscosity standards (ISO 1921; ASLE founding 1944)
The 1920s brought the first petroleum-refining processes engineered specifically to improve lubricant performance, followed by additive chemistry in the 1930s and 1940s (antioxidants, corrosion inhibitors, viscosity improvers). The American Society of Lubrication Engineers was founded in Chicago on March 3, 1944, codifying lubrication practice as a professional discipline. For the factory oiler, this era transformed the work from informal topping-off to a specification-driven regime: each machine now had a data plate recommending a specific oil grade, a service interval, and a fill quantity. The International Brotherhood of Firemen and Oilers (AFL expanded the union's jurisdiction to include oilers in 1919; the IBFO name was formally adopted at the 1956 convention) gave these workers formal union standing and negotiated the job descriptions that separated lubrication workers from mechanics.
Computerized Maintenance Management Systems (CMMS) -- IBM mainframe punch-card era to minicomputer era
The first computerized maintenance management systems appeared in 1965 on IBM mainframe computers, using punch cards to record work orders. Initially available only to large manufacturers and government agencies, these systems formalized the lubrication route into a scheduled-work-order workflow: the system generated a work order, the worker completed the task, the completion was recorded. By the 1970s, computer terminals replaced punch cards; in the 1980s, the minicomputer brought CMMS within reach of medium-sized factories. For the machinery maintenance worker, CMMS was a mixed development: it made the job more systematic and the worker accountable by name to each completed task, but it also made the labor more measurable and therefore more auditable for efficiency gains. The 1970s effectiveness-questioning of preventive maintenance ("over-maintaining" critique) began shifting thinking toward condition-based triggers, planting the intellectual seeds of predictive maintenance.
Total Productive Maintenance (TPM) and route-based predictive maintenance
In 1971 the Japanese Institute of Plant Maintenance awarded the first PM prize to Nippondenso (a Toyota supplier), formally recognizing Total Productive Maintenance as a management system. TPM, developed by Seiichi Nakajima between 1950 and 1970, redistributed maintenance accountability across the entire organization -- from dedicated lubrication workers to machine operators themselves, who were trained to do autonomous maintenance (cleaning, inspection, basic lubrication) on their own equipment. For the 49-9043 category, TPM had a dual effect: in Japanese-influenced factories adopting lean manufacturing, autonomous maintenance absorbed some routine lubrication tasks into the operator's job, reducing headcount of dedicated lubrication workers; in traditionally organized US factories, it raised awareness of systematic preventive maintenance without restructuring job roles. Route-based predictive maintenance (technicians physically touring machines with vibration meters and thermal cameras) became practical in the 1990s with portable instruments and route-based data collection software.
PC-based CMMS and Windows-era maintenance scheduling software
Personal computers running DOS and then Windows placed CMMS software in virtually any factory office by the mid-1990s, and the internet made cloud-hosted CMMS accessible by the late 1990s. For the machinery maintenance worker, the PC-CMMS era meant a printed work-order sheet each morning (later a handheld device with a barcode scanner) and a strict close-out protocol: scan the equipment tag, scan your employee badge, enter the lubricant applied and the quantity, close the order. The CMMS now held a complete machine history, enabling analysis of which machines were consuming the most labor. This auditability accelerated the shift from time-based to condition-based intervals -- but the analytical capacity was still mostly in the hands of maintenance planners and engineers, not the worker on the floor.
Effect on the workThe PC-CMMS era coincided with the broader deindustrialization of the US manufacturing base. Between 1980 and 2000, the US lost millions of manufacturing jobs, and the 49-9043 workforce compressed accordingly from its estimated 1970s peak.
Industrial IoT and AI-driven predictive maintenance (IIoT/PdM era)
The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) platform market, worth tens of billions of dollars in 2022 and growing fast, has embedded real-time vibration, temperature, and acoustic sensors in industrial machinery at scale. These sensors feed machine-learning models that predict bearing failures, lubrication deficiencies, and seal degradation days or weeks before they would be detectable by a worker on a physical inspection route. For the 49-9043 maintenance worker, IIoT predictive maintenance is the most significant restructuring of the job since the shift from the oil can to the CMMS. The work is increasingly condition-triggered rather than schedule-triggered: instead of lubricating Bearing 14B every Monday because the schedule says so, the worker lubricates Bearing 14B when the system flags an anomaly in its vibration signature. This makes each intervention more purposeful but reduces the total number of interventions, compressing the headcount needed. The mainstream daily-driver tools in 2026 are cloud-hosted CMMS platforms (IBM Maximo, SAP PM, Limble, Fiix) integrated with IIoT sensor dashboards, paired with mobile work-order apps on ruggedized tablets or phones. AI is not replacing the worker on the floor -- the physical act of applying lubricant still requires a human -- but it is reducing the frequency of dispatching that worker, and routing more complex condition-based interventions to Industrial Machinery Mechanics (49-9041) rather than 49-9043 Maintenance Workers.
Effect on the workBLS projects a further decline by 2034, citing "predictive maintenance allows for more efficient scheduling of work activities for maintenance workers" as the primary driver.
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Browse all rolesMaintenance Workers, Machinery employment and pay by year
View all 26 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
| Year | US employment | Annual pay (median unless marked) | Source | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1940 | 185,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1940[1] Researched context | Report |
| 1950 | n/a | $3,200 (average) | Est., Derived estimate[4] Researched context | Report |
| 1970 | 220,000 | n/a | Decennial Census 1970[2] Researched context | Report |
| 2003 | 89,160 | $33,000 | BLS OEWS May 2003[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2004 | 84,850 | $32,840 | BLS OEWS May 2004[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2005 | 83,220 | $33,650 | BLS OEWS May 2005[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2006 | 81,580 | $34,550 | BLS OEWS May 2006[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2007 | 78,760 | $35,590 | BLS OEWS May 2007[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2008 | 73,650 | $36,790 | BLS OEWS May 2008[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2009 | 66,390 | $37,760 | BLS OEWS May 2009[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2010 | 69,480 | $38,460 | BLS OEWS May 2010[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2011 | 77,980 | $39,490 | BLS OEWS May 2011[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2012 | 88,450 | $40,620 | BLS OEWS May 2012[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2013 | 89,510 | $41,600 | BLS OEWS May 2013[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2014 | 90,730 | $42,640 | BLS OEWS May 2014[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2015 | 92,520 | $43,260 | BLS OEWS May 2015[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2016 | 89,630 | $44,550 | BLS OEWS May 2016[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2017 | 83,520 | $45,540 | BLS OEWS May 2017[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2018 | 80,270 | $47,060 | BLS OEWS May 2018[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2019 | 72,890 | $47,520 | BLS OEWS May 2019[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2020 | 65,240 | $50,100 | BLS OEWS May 2020[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2021 | 57,660 | $48,900 | BLS OEWS May 2021[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2022 | 62,770 | $53,310 | BLS OEWS May 2022[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2023 | 58,040 | $57,350 | BLS OEWS May 2023[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2024 | 56,540 | $60,500 | BLS OEWS May 2024[3] Official statistic | Report |
| 2025 | 60,020 | $60,850 | BLS OEWS May 2025[3] Official statistic | Report |