Skip to sources
Time Machine

Millwrights

In brief

In May 2025, BLS counted 40,330 US millwrights, with median pay of $65,700 a year. The earliest figure here is a Census count of 35,000 from 1900, not measured the same way as today's count. The last full technology era for millwrights: Laser shaft alignment systems, 1990 to 2010. Laser alignment tools and CMMS software increased output per millwright by reducing rework and enabling predictive scheduling.

Official statistic: latest count and pay.Researched context: earliest figure.

What the sources say

Official outlook

BLS projects employment to change +0.9% from 2025 to 2035.

BLS Employment Projections 2025-35

Official statistic

AI exposure studies

  • 0.59 estimated probability that the whole occupation could be computerised, over an unspecified number of years. Not a forecast of job losses. Frey and Osborne, 2013 Official statistic

Since the 2013 prediction

In 2013, Frey and Osborne put this job's probability of computerisation at 0.59. BLS counted 38,680 of these jobs in May 2013 and 40,330 in May 2025 (+4%, a change derived by Future History).

Official statistic

Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. BLS publishes these counts as yearly survey snapshots and cautions against reading them as a precise trend. In May 2021 BLS changed how it estimates these counts (a model-based method using three years of survey data) and moved fully to the 2018 occupation codes, so part of a change across 2021 can come from the method rather than the work.

Last updated .

Cite this page
APA

Future History. (2026, October 11). Millwrights: jobs and pay since 1900 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/49-9044

Chicago

Future History. "Millwrights: jobs and pay since 1900." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified October 11, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/49-9044.

BibTeX

@misc{futurehistory_49_9044, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Millwrights: jobs and pay since 1900}, year = {2026}, month = oct, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/49-9044}}, note = {Last updated 2026-10-11. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }

The access date is today's date on your device.

drag to travel through time
View as table
1775180018251850187519001925195019752000now
2026
Known then as Millwright (water-mill and wind-mill builder, wood-and-iron craft era)
Known then as Millwright / Machine Erector (textile factory and steam-mill era)
Known then as Millwright / Industrial Millwright (iron-and-steel plant era)
Known then as Millwright (heavy industry, paper-steel-auto-power era)
Known then as Millwrights (BLS SOC 49-9044, precision installation era)
Known today as Millwrights (BLS SOC 49-9044, precision installation era)
Projected to still be called Millwrights (BLS SOC 49-9044, precision installation era)
Data from the May 2025 survey
US Employment
40K

Stated in source: BLS OEWS

Official statistic
Report an error
Median Annual Wage
$65,700

≈ $64,016 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)

Official statistic
Report an error
Beat · 1769

Richard Arkwright patents the water-powered spinning frame in England. The patent triggers the first wave of large-scale textile-factory construction in Britain and, within two decades, in New England. Millwrights are the craftsmen who build these factories: they design and erect the water wheels, set the shafting, cut the wooden gears, and install the machinery. The occupation that had built grain mills and sawmills for centuries finds a new and vastly larger market.

Beat · 1793

Samuel Slater opens the first successful water-powered cotton spinning mill in the United States at Pawtucket, Rhode Island. Slater, who had worked under Jedediah Strutt in England and memorized the design of Arkwright's machinery, relied on American millwrights to build and install the mill machinery. Slater's Mills became the template for the New England textile industry that employed tens of thousands of people over the next century, and millwrights were central to its construction in every location.

Beat · 1876

Millwrights in Toronto, Canada form some of the earliest craft unions for the trade. After the Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America organized in 1881, Toronto millwrights affiliated with it in 1884. By the 1886 Brotherhood convention the word "millwright" was added to Article VI of the General Constitution, formally recognizing the trade as eligible for membership. This union structure gave millwrights collective bargaining strength that would sustain their wages substantially above industrial averages throughout the 20th century.

Beat · 1919

James F. Hobart publishes "Millwrighting," which includes the most-quoted description of the trade's transformation: "The ancient type of millwright has passed away. He has gone with the old time carpenter and obsolete shoemaker." Hobart was not announcing the end of the occupation but the end of its first form: the all-in-one builder who designed and constructed mills from scratch. The modern millwright, Hobart argued, was a specialist who executed the plans of engineers, but whose physical and mechanical judgment remained irreplaceable in the installation process.

Beat · 1958

The Shippingport Atomic Power Station near Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania begins commercial operation on December 2, 1958 -- the first commercial nuclear power plant in the United States. Its construction required extensive millwright work: reactor vessel installation, primary coolant pump alignment, turbine-generator set erection, and feedwater system installation. Nuclear power plants, which would proliferate across the US through the 1970s and 1980s, became a major specialized employment sector for millwrights, with tolerances and documentation requirements far exceeding those of conventional industrial plants.

Beat · 1995

Approximately 45% of American millwrights are unionized through the United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America's millwright locals -- a unionization rate far above the national workforce average. The union structure has historically maintained a premium wage for millwrights and administered apprenticeship programs that set the length and content of training. The UBC millwright apprenticeship is a four-to-five year program combining on-the-job hours with classroom instruction in mathematics, blueprint reading, rigging, welding, and precision measurement.

Beat · 2021

The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (2021) and the CHIPS and Science Act (2022) together authorized over $650 billion in federal investment in roads, bridges, broadband, water systems, and domestic semiconductor manufacturing. New semiconductor fabrication facilities -- which contain some of the most precision-sensitive industrial equipment in the world -- require extensive millwright work for equipment installation and alignment. Companies including TSMC (Arizona), Intel (Ohio), and Samsung (Texas) announced US fab construction at a scale not seen since the postwar industrial boom, generating acute demand for experienced millwrights in regions with limited trade labor pools.

How to read this number

OEWS is a point-in-time survey snapshot, not a continuous time series; BLS advises against using it for year-over-year trend comparison.

Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.

Official statistic: Copied by a script from a statistics agency table or a published study's table, not retyped by hand. BLS figures, ONS ASHE figures (UK pay and jobs) and the forecast and exposure tables are also re-checked against that table on every data run. Researched context: Researched from the cited source rather than copied from it by a script, so it is not machine-checked yet. Spot a mistake? Each figure has a “Report an error” link.

Cited forecasts · present → 2035

Will AI replace millwrights? What the research says

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.

What published forecasts say
Forecast change in the number of people doing this work, as published by each named source. Bars share one scale on every role, centred on zero and reaching the end at ±30%. Grey marks a small change, 3% or less either way.
  • BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
    Target year 2035
    +0.9%
    BLS National Employment Matrix, 2025-35 cycle, line for SOC 49-9044 (Millwrights): 40.7 thousand jobs in 2025, projected 41.0 thousand in 2035, a change of +0.4 thousand (+0.9%). Matrix employment counts all jobs in the occupation, including self-employed workers. The average for all occupations in this cycle is +3.5%.
    Official statisticReport an error
How exposed is this work to AI (research measures)
Scores as published by each study. Each row says what it measures. These measure what AI could technically do, not forecasts of jobs lost.
  • Frey & Osborne (2013), "The Future of Employment"
    2013 study · Probability of computerisation (2013 model)
    0.59
    probability
    What this measures

    Published appendix value for SOC 2010 49-9044 Millwrights: probability of computerisation 0.59, rank 325 of 702 (rank 1 is least computerisable). Frey and Osborne estimated in 2013, with a Gaussian-process classifier on O*NET variables, how likely the whole occupation is to be technically automatable over "some unspecified number of years, perhaps a decade or two". It is a probability for the occupation, not a share of tasks and not a forecast of jobs lost.

    Official statisticReport an error
Today, in this role

What's changing day to day for millwrights

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you here Replace defective parts of machine…

, or adjust clearances and alignment of moving parts.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you here Align machines or equipment, using hoists, jacks, hand tools…

, squares, rules, micrometers, lasers, or plumb bobs.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you here Insert shims, adjust tension on nuts and bolts…

, or position parts, using hand tools and measuring instruments, to set specified clearances between moving and stationary parts.[2]

Where your edge is

Tools of the era

How has the work of millwrights changed since 1769?

The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Hand tools, wood-and-iron gearing, water-wheel systems (pre-steam mill era)

    The millwright of the late 18th and early 19th century carried his trade in his hands and his head. William Fairbairn captured it precisely: these craftsmen could "handle the axe, the hammer, and the plane with equal skill," and they designed each installation without written plans, carrying mill configurations in memory from site to site across the countryside. They carved wooden gear teeth, shaped wooden shafts, cut mortise-and-tenon timber frames, and balanced water wheels by feel. The measurement tools were plumb bobs, spirit levels, and straight edges. At the alignment step, the millwright relied on visual inspection and experiential judgment to seat a shaft within tolerances that, by modern standards, were loose -- but tight enough that the grist mill ran without shaking apart. This era ended not when the tools improved, but when iron and steam displaced wood and water as the dominant materials and power sources of industrial machinery.

  • Machined iron and steel, chain hoists, mechanical levels, feeler gauges (industrial plant era)

    As James F. Hobart wrote in his 1919 book "Millwrighting," the ancient millwright had passed away alongside the old-time carpenter: "He has gone with the old time carpenter and obsolete shoemaker." What replaced him was a tradesperson who worked in iron and steel rather than wood, who executed the designs of mechanical engineers rather than inventing their own, and who used manufactured precision instruments -- machined feeler gauges, precision spirit levels, chain hoists, and later pneumatic jacks -- to accomplish alignment tolerances an order of magnitude tighter than the previous generation. The millwrights of this era erected the great steel mills, auto plants, paper mills, and power stations of the industrial United States. River Rouge required thousands of hours of millwright labor to install its buildings of machinery. The trade was physically demanding, frequently dangerous, and carried a premium wage reflecting both the skill and the hazard.

  • Optical alignment instruments, hydraulic torque wrenches, Rotalign optical shaft alignment (postwar precision era)

    The postwar nuclear age and the simultaneous growth of chemical processing, aerospace manufacturing, and precision paper-making drove alignment tolerances to levels that purely mechanical instruments struggled to achieve consistently. Optical alignment tools, developed from surveying technology, let millwrights align shafts and base plates to thousandths of an inch across spans of many meters. Hydraulic torque wrenches enabled consistent bolt tensioning on large machinery foundations. By the 1970s, the first generation of electro-optical shaft alignment instruments (precursors to the laser systems that would follow) were entering heavy industry. The nuclear industry, in particular, demanded alignment precision beyond anything the older manufacturing sectors had required: reactor coolant pump shafts, turbine generator couplings, and feedwater pump trains all required millwright work documented to tolerances specified by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

    Effect on the work

    Optical and electro-optical instruments increased the precision attainable per millwright without materially reducing the headcount needed for heavy plant installations, which remained physically labor-intensive regardless of measurement sophistication.

  • Laser shaft alignment systems, digital inclinometers, computerized maintenance management (CMMS era)

    Laser shaft alignment systems, commercially widespread by the early 1990s, transformed the centerpiece millwright task of shaft alignment from an iterative mechanical measurement process into a digital feedback loop. A laser-and-detector system (such as the PRUFTECHNIK ROTALIGN or the Easy-Laser family) displays real-time coupling misalignment in thousandths of a millimeter and calculates the exact shim thickness and horizontal correction needed at each machine foot. A task that previously required experienced judgment built over years of practice became learnable and auditable in a fraction of the time. Simultaneously, computerized maintenance management systems (CMMS) began tracking machinery alignment history, enabling predictive rather than reactive maintenance. Millwrights who mastered these digital tools became more productive per person, which is one reason employment did not grow proportionally with industrial output during this period.

    Effect on the work

    Laser alignment tools and CMMS software increased output per millwright by reducing rework and enabling predictive scheduling. This productivity gain partly accounts for the decline in millwright headcount from the range in the 1970s to the range by the 2000s, as the same volume of industrial maintenance required fewer worker-hours.

  • Vibration analysis sensors, digital twin platforms, industrial robotics installation (condition-monitoring era)

    The mainstream millwright toolkit of the mid-2020s centers on three intersecting technologies: wireless vibration analysis sensors that continuously monitor rotating equipment health, digital alignment systems with Bluetooth data transfer and cloud storage, and the installation and commissioning of industrial robots and automated production lines. Vibration analysis -- measuring the signature of rotating machinery to detect imbalance, misalignment, or bearing wear before catastrophic failure -- has become a core millwright competency in heavy process industries. The CHIPS Act semiconductor fabs, data center builds, and utility-scale solar and wind installations that have driven greenfield industrial construction since 2021 have created demand for millwrights who can install robotic systems, set precision-leveled equipment pads, and align drive trains in facilities with zero tolerance for rework. As of 2026, the trade is adapting to a new installation client: the collaborative robot (cobot) and the autonomous mobile robot (AMR), which require the same foundational millwright skills of precision leveling, alignment, and mechanical commissioning, applied to machinery that is lighter but no less demanding in its precision requirements.

Different role?

See the same long-arc view for your own profession.

Browse the directory by industry, or search by title or SOC code.

Browse all roles

Millwrights employment and pay by year

On record since1769
Latest US employment40,330 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Latest US median pay$65,700 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Outlook+0.9% by 2035Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Official statisticReport an error
View all 28 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
Millwrights in the US: employment and pay by year, with sources
YearUS employmentAnnual pay (median unless marked)SourceReport
190035,000n/aDecennial Census 1900[1] Researched contextReport
1968n/a$7,020 (average)BLS historical bulletin 1650[5] Researched contextReport
197085,000n/aBLS CPS 1650[2] Researched contextReport
1997n/a$35,720 (average)BLS OEWS 1997[6] Official statisticReport
199980,390n/aBLS OEWS 1999[3] Official statisticReport
200364,910$42,390BLS OEWS May 2003[4] Official statisticReport
200457,050$43,720BLS OEWS May 2004[4] Official statisticReport
200553,080$44,780BLS OEWS May 2005[4] Official statisticReport
200653,320$45,630BLS OEWS May 2006[4] Official statisticReport
200749,360$46,090BLS OEWS May 2007[4] Official statisticReport
200846,250$47,570BLS OEWS May 2008[4] Official statisticReport
200941,640$48,130BLS OEWS May 2009[4] Official statisticReport
201036,670$48,360BLS OEWS May 2010[4] Official statisticReport
201137,730$49,270BLS OEWS May 2011[4] Official statisticReport
201238,050$49,510BLS OEWS May 2012[4] Official statisticReport
201338,680$50,030BLS OEWS May 2013[4] Official statisticReport
201439,290$50,460BLS OEWS May 2014[4] Official statisticReport
201540,030$51,390BLS OEWS May 2015[4] Official statisticReport
201639,670$52,440BLS OEWS May 2016[4] Official statisticReport
201741,360$53,980BLS OEWS May 2017[4] Official statisticReport
201843,810$55,060BLS OEWS May 2018[4] Official statisticReport
201947,320$55,560BLS OEWS May 2019[4] Official statisticReport
202044,400$57,260BLS OEWS May 2020[4] Official statisticReport
202139,240$60,330BLS OEWS May 2021[4] Official statisticReport
202240,930$60,930BLS OEWS May 2022[4] Official statisticReport
202337,930$62,980BLS OEWS May 2023[4] Official statisticReport
202440,660$65,170BLS OEWS May 2024[4] Official statisticReport
202540,330$65,700BLS OEWS May 2025[4] Official statisticReport
Embed this timeline on your site

Free for any site. Paste this where the timeline should appear; it stays interactive, every datapoint stays cited, and it sets no cookies on your page. How embedding works

<iframe src="https://futurehistory.earth/embed/49-9044"
  width="100%" height="430" style="border:0"
  title="Millwrights, a Future History timeline"
  loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:13px;margin:4px 0 0"><a href="https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/49-9044">Millwrights: jobs and pay since 1900</a>, from Future History</p>