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Railroad conductors and yardmasters

In brief

In May 2025, BLS counted 46,440 US railroad conductors and yardmasters, with median pay of $78,000 a year. Of the BLS counts since 2003, the highest was 48,030, in May 2021, close to the May 2025 count. The last full technology era for railroad conductors and yardmasters: Computer-aided dispatching and Positive Train Control, 1995 to 2020. PTC has not reduced conductor headcount in the post-2020 period.

Official statistic

What the sources say

Official outlook

BLS projects employment to change +0.9% from 2025 to 2035.

BLS Employment Projections 2025-35

Official statistic

AI exposure studies

  • 20.8% of this job's tasks are exposed to large language models. Not a forecast of job losses. Eloundou and others, 2023 Official statistic

Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. BLS publishes these counts as yearly survey snapshots and cautions against reading them as a precise trend. In May 2021 BLS changed how it estimates these counts (a model-based method using three years of survey data) and moved fully to the 2018 occupation codes, so part of a change across 2021 can come from the method rather than the work.

Last updated .

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APA

Future History. (2026, October 11). Railroad conductors and yardmasters: jobs and pay since 1999 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/53-4031

Chicago

Future History. "Railroad conductors and yardmasters: jobs and pay since 1999." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified October 11, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/53-4031.

BibTeX

@misc{futurehistory_53_4031, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Railroad conductors and yardmasters: jobs and pay since 1999}, year = {2026}, month = oct, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/53-4031}}, note = {Last updated 2026-10-11. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }

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1850187519001925195019752000now
2026
Known then as Car Conductor / Train Conductor (early railroad era, informal title)
Known then as Passenger Conductor / Freight Conductor / Yardmaster (craft union era)
Known then as Conductor / Yardmaster (regulated railroad era)
Known then as Conductor / Yardmaster (post-caboose transition era)
Known then as Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters (BLS SOC 53-4031)
Known today as Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters (BLS SOC 53-4031)
Projected to still be called Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters (BLS SOC 53-4031)
Data from the May 2025 survey
US Employment
46K

Stated in source: BLS OEWS

Official statistic
Report an error
Median Annual Wage
$78,000

≈ $76,000 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)

Official statistic
Report an error
Beat · 1831

August 9, 1831: John T. Clark, Resident Engineer and Superintendent of Transportation of the Mohawk and Hudson Railroad, acts as conductor of the first regular steam railroad passenger journey in the United States. The DeWitt Clinton locomotive pulls three coach-bodied cars 17 miles from Albany to Schenectady, New York. Clark's dual role as engineer and conductor on this inaugural run reflects the undifferentiated nature of early railroad management; within a decade, the conductor role would be fully professionalized and separated from engineering.

Beat · 1868

December 15, 1868: The Conductors Union, later renamed the Order of Railway Conductors of America (ORC), is formally organized at Columbus, Ohio, growing out of a meeting of Illinois Central conductors at Amboy, Illinois, earlier that year. The ORC begins as a fraternal benefit and temperance society providing mutual aid and life insurance, deliberately avoiding strikes and labor confrontation. By 1890 it shifts to active collective bargaining. The ORC represents the first major craft union for a transportation occupation in the United States and anchors conductors as a distinct professional identity in American labor history.

Beat · 1907

The Order of Railway Conductors wins a 16-hour workday limit for conductors, replacing a system in which conductors could be on duty for 24 hours or more without legal rest requirements. The 1907 Hours of Service Act, pushed partly by railroad labor unions including the ORC, is the first federal legislation limiting railroad working hours and is a landmark in US labor law. The 1916 Adamson Act, passed after a threatened national railroad strike, establishes the eight-hour day for railroad workers with time-and-a-half overtime, setting a precedent for the 40-hour work week that would later spread to the broader American labor force.

Beat · 1980

The Staggers Rail Act of 1980 deregulates the US railroad industry, ending the Interstate Commerce Commission's control over freight rates and allowing Class I railroads to negotiate contracts directly with shippers. Deregulation enables rail carriers to focus on high-density corridor operations, begin shedding low-traffic branch lines (often sold to short-line operators), and accelerate the crew-size negotiations that would lead to the elimination of the caboose and the brakeman's position through the 1980s. Employment in the railroad industry falls significantly through the 1980s and 1990s as productivity rises.

Beat · 1990

By 1990, cabooses have been retired from virtually all major US freight railroads, replaced by 40-pound Flashing Rear End Devices (FREDs) mounted on the rear coupler. The transition, which began with the Florida East Coast Railroad in 1969 and accelerated through the 1980s as labor agreements were renegotiated state by state, eliminates the brakeman's position and moves the conductor from the caboose to the front locomotive cab. Freight train crews, which had operated with five to six people during the steam era, now routinely run with two: an engineer and a conductor.

Beat · 2008

September 12, 2008: A Metrolink commuter train and a Union Pacific freight train collide head-on in Chatsworth, California, killing 25 people and injuring 135. The Metrolink engineer had been texting on his cell phone and ran a red signal. The accident directly prompts Congress to pass the Rail Safety Improvement Act of 2008, which mandates the implementation of Positive Train Control (PTC) on all Class I mainlines carrying passenger trains or toxic hazardous materials by a statutory deadline. The Chatsworth disaster is the most consequential single safety event in the history of modern US railroading in terms of its regulatory outcome.

Beat · 2020

December 29, 2020: The Federal Railroad Administration announces that US railroads have fully implemented Positive Train Control across all 57,536 required route miles, meeting the congressional deadline with two days to spare. Class I railroads invested more than $11 billion in the technology. PTC automatically applies brakes when a train exceeds authorized speed, passes a stop signal, or enters an active work zone. The full implementation represents the largest single safety technology investment in US railroad history.

Beat · 2022

After nearly three years of national bargaining, SMART-TD (Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers) and the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (BLET) reach a tentative agreement with Class I freight railroads that includes a 24% wage increase over the 2020-2024 period and preserves healthcare benefits. The negotiations, which at one point threatened the first national rail strike since 1992, highlight the continued bargaining power of rail labor unions representing conductors and engineers. Congress ultimately intervenes in December 2022 to impose a contract settlement, avoiding a strike that would have frozen roughly 30% of US freight movement.

Beat · 2024

April 9, 2024: The FRA publishes a final rule on Train Crew Size Safety Requirements (effective June 10, 2024), mandating that nearly all US freight and passenger railroad operations be staffed with a minimum of two crewmembers: a certified locomotive engineer and an additional crewmember (typically a conductor) who can directly communicate with the engineer. The rule codifies in federal regulation a two-person crew standard that had previously existed only in union contract agreements. Specific exceptions exist for certain low-risk one-person operations with FRA approval. The rule marks the end of a decade-long debate between Class I railroads seeking to pilot single-operator trains and safety advocates and unions who argued that a second person in the cab provides essential safety oversight that PTC alone cannot replicate.

How to read this number

OEWS is a point-in-time survey snapshot, not a continuous time series; BLS advises against using it for year-over-year trend comparison.

Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.

Official statistic: Copied by a script from a statistics agency table or a published study's table, not retyped by hand. BLS figures, ONS ASHE figures (UK pay and jobs) and the forecast and exposure tables are also re-checked against that table on every data run. Researched context: Researched from the cited source rather than copied from it by a script, so it is not machine-checked yet. Spot a mistake? Each figure has a “Report an error” link.

Cited forecasts · present → 2035

Will AI replace railroad conductors and yardmasters? What the research says

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.

What published forecasts say
Forecast change in the number of people doing this work, as published by each named source. Bars share one scale on every role, centred on zero and reaching the end at ±30%. Grey marks a small change, 3% or less either way.
  • BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
    Target year 2035
    +0.9%
    BLS National Employment Matrix, 2025-35 cycle, line for SOC 53-4031 (Railroad conductors and yardmasters): 38.9 thousand jobs in 2025, projected 39.2 thousand in 2035, a change of +0.3 thousand (+0.9%). Matrix employment counts all jobs in the occupation, including self-employed workers. The average for all occupations in this cycle is +3.5%.
    Official statisticReport an error
How exposed is this work to AI (research measures)
Scores as published by each study. Each row says what it measures. These measure what AI could technically do, not forecasts of jobs lost.
  • Eloundou et al. (2023), "GPTs are GPTs"
    2023 study · Share of tasks exposed to LLMs (β, human-rated)
    20.8%
    of tasks
    What this measures

    Published occupation-level exposure from the paper's occ_level.csv for O*NET-SOC 53-4031.00 Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters. Shown: human-rated β = 0.208, the share of the occupation's tasks an LLM could do in at least half the time at equal quality, counting tasks that need LLM-powered software at half weight (β = E1 + 0.5 × E2). Other published measures for this occupation: human-rated α (LLM alone) 0 and γ (all LLM-assisted) 0.417; GPT-4-rated β 0.278. This measures how much of the work an LLM could touch, not how many jobs disappear.

    Official statisticReport an error
Today, in this role

What's changing day to day for railroad conductors and yardmasters

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you here Signal engineers to begin train runs, stop trains…

, or change speed, using telecommunications equipment or hand signals.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you here Confer with engineers regarding train routes, timetables…

, and cargoes, and to discuss alternative routes when there are rail defects or obstructions.[2]

Where your edge is

AI is sitting alongside you here Direct and instruct workers engaged in yard activities…

, such as switching tracks, coupling and uncoupling cars, and routing inbound and outbound traffic.[2]

Where your edge is

Tools of the era

How has the work of railroad conductors and yardmasters changed since 1831?

The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Verbal orders, printed timetables, and hand signals (pre-telegraph era)

    In the earliest years of American railroading, the conductor worked with three tools: a printed timetable, verbal train orders passed at station stops, and hand or lantern signals to communicate with the engineer. Because there was no real-time communication between stations, the conductor and engineer shared responsibility for the interval between trains entirely from memory and schedule. Collisions were common. The conductor carried a book of orders, a timepiece, and the authority of the railroad company. The role was unambiguously the most skilled, best-paid, and most responsible non-managerial position on any train.

  • Telegraph + train order system (the age of the "OS")

    Samuel Morse's commercial telegraph arrived at American railroad stations in the late 1840s. By 1851, railroads were threading telegraph wire along their main lines as a matter of practice, and by the Civil War era the telegraph had transformed how train movements were controlled. Station telegraphers could transmit "OS" reports ("on sheet") logging each train's passage to the dispatcher, who in turn issued written train orders that conductors received at division points and carried as their legal authority to proceed. The telegraph enabled railroads to run trains far more safely on single-track lines where opposing trains had to be carefully timed. For the conductor, it meant absorbing and executing written orders under time pressure, a cognitive and administrative skill that became central to the role's professionalism.

    Effect on the work

    The telegraph increased the density of trains that could safely share a rail network, directly expanding the demand for conductors and the total railroad labor force. US railroad mileage grew from tens of thousands of miles in 1860 to more than a hundred thousand miles by 1900, supported by a proportional expansion in conductor and yardmaster positions.

  • Diesel locomotives, two-way radio, and centralized traffic control (CTC)

    Three overlapping technologies reshaped the conductor's world between the 1920s and 1960s. First, diesel-electric locomotives (widely adopted by US railroads between 1940 and 1960) were cleaner and more reliable than steam, but they also eliminated the fireman's role and began a long process of crew reduction. Second, centralized traffic control (CTC), introduced on the Boston and Maine Railroad in 1927, allowed a single dispatcher to operate signals and switches over hundreds of miles from a central board, bypassing the old station-by-station telegraph and train order chain. Third, two-way portable radios arrived on US freight railroads in the 1940s and 1950s, allowing the conductor riding the caboose to communicate directly with the engineer at the head end and with dispatchers, replacing much of the manual flagging and signal relay that brakemen had performed. The crew on a freight train shrank from five or six workers under steam to three or four under diesel.

    Effect on the work

    Conductor employment declined proportionally, though the role itself was not eliminated: conductors remained the on-board commanding officer.

  • End-of-Train Device (ETD / FRED) and caboose elimination

    The Florida East Coast Railroad first used a flashing end-of-train device on a freight train in 1969. By the late 1970s, labor agreements and state laws had changed enough that railroads could begin eliminating the caboose entirely. By 1990, most cabooses on major US freight railroads were retired. The practical consequence for crew composition was dramatic: the brakeman and the rear flagman, whose jobs had depended on the caboose as a mobile workspace, were eliminated. The conductor moved from the caboose to the front locomotive cab, operating alongside the engineer. Freight crew size fell to two: engineer plus conductor. The conductor's remaining function was the critical supervisory and communication role: coordinating with dispatchers, verifying car assignments and waybills, managing yard switches, and serving as a second trained pair of eyes on the operation.

    Effect on the work

    The caboose elimination was the most consequential single change in railroad labor composition since dieselization. Brakeman positions were eliminated across the industry. Conductor employment, which had been buffered by the multi-person crew requirement, declined as remaining position-counts were absorbed into the engineer-plus-conductor two-man standard.

  • Computer-aided dispatching (CAD) and Positive Train Control (PTC)

    Computer-aided dispatching systems, which reached widespread US freight rail adoption in the 1990s, replaced paper-based train order systems with real-time digital displays that conductors and dispatchers shared. Movement authorities, track warrants, and work zone limits were now digitally transmitted rather than spoken or written by hand. Positive Train Control (PTC), mandated by Congress in the Rail Safety Improvement Act of 2008 after the 2008 Chatsworth, California, collision killed many people, went further: PTC systems use GPS, wireless communications, and onboard processors to automatically apply the brakes if a train exceeds speed limits, passes a stop signal, or enters a work zone without authorization. Class I railroads completed full PTC implementation across all required route miles by December 29, 2020, two days before the congressional deadline. For the conductor, PTC is an overlay on, not a replacement for, the human supervisory role: conductors still determine safe departure, manage crew, coordinate yard operations, and handle the judgment calls that automation cannot make.

    Effect on the work

    PTC has not reduced conductor headcount in the post-2020 period. The technology functions as a safety backstop rather than a staffing alternative. The FRA's April 2024 final rule mandating minimum two-person crews specifically rejected the argument that PTC made a second crew member unnecessary.

  • PTC-integrated dispatching, AI inspection tools, and two-person crew regulatory floor

    As of 2026, the conductor works within a fully PTC-enabled environment where the train's control system can autonomously intervene if speed or signal conditions are violated, freeing conductor attention for the coordination, planning, and judgment tasks that remain human-only. AI-powered track and car inspection tools (optical sensors, vibration monitors, and thermal cameras installed at wayside stations) have made defect detection faster and more automated, reducing some of the visual inspection burden the crew once performed at slow speed through yards. The defining regulatory event of the current era is the FRA's April 2024 final rule on train crew size safety requirements, which became effective June 10, 2024. The rule requires all freight railroad operations to be staffed with a minimum of two crewmembers, one of whom will typically be a conductor, establishing a legal floor for the role's continued presence in the cab.

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Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters employment and pay by year

On record since1831
Latest US employment46,440 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Latest US median pay$78,000 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Outlook+0.9% by 2035Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Official statisticReport an error
View all 25 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters in the US: employment and pay by year, with sources
YearUS employmentAnnual pay (median unless marked)SourceReport
199936,680n/aBLS OEWS 1999[1] Official statisticReport
200140,910n/aBLS OEWS 2001[2] Official statisticReport
200334,720$44,320BLS OEWS May 2003[3] Official statisticReport
200435,720$46,340BLS OEWS May 2004[3] Official statisticReport
200538,330$54,040BLS OEWS May 2005[3] Official statisticReport
200637,110$55,530BLS OEWS May 2006[3] Official statisticReport
200737,540$58,650BLS OEWS May 2007[3] Official statisticReport
200839,580$52,830BLS OEWS May 2008[3] Official statisticReport
200941,540$53,940BLS OEWS May 2009[3] Official statisticReport
201042,700$49,770BLS OEWS May 2010[3] Official statisticReport
201144,280$53,880BLS OEWS May 2011[3] Official statisticReport
201242,740$54,700BLS OEWS May 2012[3] Official statisticReport
201343,100$56,060BLS OEWS May 2013[3] Official statisticReport
201442,900$54,770BLS OEWS May 2014[3] Official statisticReport
201542,330$55,930BLS OEWS May 2015[3] Official statisticReport
201642,880$57,480BLS OEWS May 2016[3] Official statisticReport
201744,490$60,300BLS OEWS May 2017[3] Official statisticReport
201842,360$62,930BLS OEWS May 2018[3] Official statisticReport
201945,710$65,990BLS OEWS May 2019[3] Official statisticReport
202044,920$64,030BLS OEWS May 2020[3] Official statisticReport
202148,030$63,960BLS OEWS May 2021[3] Official statisticReport
202240,940$68,180BLS OEWS May 2022[3] Official statisticReport
202346,490$71,130BLS OEWS May 2023[3] Official statisticReport
202442,710$74,080BLS OEWS May 2024[3] Official statisticReport
202546,440$78,000BLS OEWS May 2025[3] Official statisticReport
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