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Construction painters

Official title Painters, Construction and Maintenance (SOC 47-2141)

Also called Painter, House painter, Commercial painter, Industrial painter, Maintenance painter

In brief

In May 2025, BLS counted 225,190 US construction painters, with median pay of $49,400 a year. Of the BLS counts since 2003, the highest was 263,390, in May 2006. The earliest figure here is an estimate of 200,000 from 1900, not measured the same way as today's count. The current technology era for construction painters: Painting robots, since 2020.

What the sources say

Official outlook

BLS projects employment to grow 3% from 2025 to 2035.

BLS Employment Projections 2025-35

AI exposure studies

  • 2.9% of this job's tasks are exposed to large language models. Not a forecast of job losses. Eloundou and others, 2023
  • 0.75 estimated probability that the whole occupation could be computerised, over an unspecified number of years. Not a forecast of job losses. Frey and Osborne, 2013

Since the 2013 prediction

In 2013, Frey and Osborne put this job's probability of computerisation at 0.75. BLS counted 192,890 of these jobs in May 2013 and 225,190 in May 2025 (+17%, a change derived by Future History).

Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. BLS publishes these counts as yearly survey snapshots and cautions against reading them as a precise trend. In May 2021 BLS changed how it estimates these counts (a model-based method using three years of survey data) and moved fully to the 2018 occupation codes, so part of a change across 2021 can come from the method rather than the work.

Last updated .

Cite this page
APA

Future History. (2026, October 11). Construction painters: jobs and pay since 1900 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/47-2141

Chicago

Future History. "Construction painters: jobs and pay since 1900." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified October 11, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/47-2141.

BibTeX

@misc{futurehistory_47_2141, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Construction painters: jobs and pay since 1900}, year = {2026}, month = oct, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/47-2141}}, note = {Last updated 2026-10-11. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }

The access date is today's date on your device.

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19001925195019752000now
Country
2026
Known then as Brotherhood of Painters and Decorators member / journeyman painter
Known then as Journeyman painter / journeyman decorator (union and non-union)
Known then as Journeyman painter (IBPAT / commercial painter / residential painter)
Known then as Painters, Construction and Maintenance (BLS SOC 47-2141)
Known today as Painters, Construction and Maintenance (BLS SOC 47-2141)
Projected to still be called Painters, Construction and Maintenance (BLS SOC 47-2141)
Data from the May 2025 survey
US Employment
225K
Est.

Stated in source: BLS OEWS

Official statistic
Report an error
Median Annual Wage
$49,400
Est.

≈ $48,133 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)

Official statistic
Report an error
Beat · 1887

June 16, 1887: Delegates from painters' local unions across the United States and Canada gather in Baltimore and found the Brotherhood of Painters and Decorators of America. The founding document demands an eight-hour workday, a journeyman wage floor, and exclusive jurisdiction over painting, decorating, and paperhanging work. Within the first year the Brotherhood grows to 7,000 members across more than 100 local unions. This is the institutional founding of the modern painting trade: the moment when itinerant craft skill becomes an organized profession with negotiated wages and defined apprenticeship pathways.

Beat · 1928

R.H. Kienle at GE research develops alkyd resin paint: the first synthetic-binder house paint. Alkyd dries faster than linseed-oil paint, adheres better to metal, and behaves more consistently. Within a decade alkyd reformulations begin displacing traditional oil-based paint in commercial and industrial applications, marking the beginning of the end for the painter's role as a color-mixer and pigment-grinder. Paint becomes a manufactured product, not a material the painter compounds on-site.

Beat · 1948

Commercial latex (water-based acrylic emulsion) house paint reaches the residential market around 1948, enabling the nap roller to become the standard tool for interior flat-wall painting. The combination of fast-drying latex and the roller effectively doubles a painter's daily coverage rate on flat wall surfaces. Residential interior painting becomes faster, easier, and more accessible to amateur DIY: a dynamic that will suppress painter wages in the residential market for decades while expanding the overall volume of paint applied.

Beat · 1970

The Brotherhood of Painters and Decorators renames itself the International Brotherhood of Painters and Allied Trades (IBPAT) in 1970, relocating headquarters from Lafayette, Indiana to Washington, DC. The name change reflects an expanding jurisdiction (drywall finishers, glaziers, floor layers) and a shift toward Washington-based legislative advocacy as federal regulation (OSHA, EPA lead rules) became the primary battleground for trade conditions. In 2000, IBPAT adopts its current name: International Union of Painters and Allied Trades (IUPAT).

Beat · 1971

Two regulatory events arrive simultaneously in 1971. OSHA is established (effective April 28, 1971), bringing construction painters under federal safety regulation for the first time: fall protection on scaffolding, ventilation requirements for solvent-based coatings in enclosed spaces, and the beginning of a framework for lead exposure limits. The Consumer Product Safety Commission also issues interim limits on lead in residential interior paint (0.5% by weight), beginning the regulatory campaign against lead-based paint that will culminate in the full 1978 ban. For painters, 1971 marks the beginning of the compliance era: work on existing buildings will never again be as simple as scraping and repainting.

Beat · 1978

The federal government bans the sale of lead-based paint for use in homes, childcare facilities, and preschools. The 1978 ban was the culmination of a decade of research documenting lead's neurological effects on children at blood-lead levels once considered safe. For painters, the ban created an acute tension: the vast majority of the US housing stock built before 1978 is coated in lead-based paint, which means that any scraping, sanding, or surface preparation on existing buildings disturbs lead. Painters who did not adopt protective practices (respirators, contained work areas, proper disposal) were exposing themselves and their clients' children to lead dust.

Beat · 2010

The EPA's Renovation, Repair and Painting (RRP) Rule takes full effect April 22, 2010: any contractor paid to disturb painted surfaces in pre-1978 homes, childcare facilities, or preschools must be EPA-certified in lead-safe work practices, and their employees must be trained. The rule created a two-tier residential renovation market: certified painters who can legally work on the 40+ million US homes built before 1978, and uncertified handymen who cannot. For established painting contractors, the certification requirement raised barriers to entry in their highest-margin segment and added a specific technical credential (knowledge of containment, HEPA vacuuming, clearance testing, and waste disposal) to the craft.

Beat · 2022

Okibo's EG7 interior wall-painting robot (capable of covering approximately 1,000 square feet per hour on flat walls without external WiFi, site preparation, or a compressed air supply) begins commercial deployments on major US construction sites, making 2022 the year painting robotics moved from trade-show prototype to job-site reality. The robot operates on flat interior walls in residential, multifamily, and office environments. It cannot cut in around door and window trim, navigate furniture-filled rooms, perform surface preparation, or interact with clients about color and scope. The Okibo deployment marks the beginning of a technological inflection that has so far proved slower than predicted: as of 2026, residential interior painting and renovation work remain entirely manual.

How to read this number

OEWS is a point-in-time survey snapshot, not a continuous time series; BLS advises against using it for year-over-year trend comparison.

Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.

Official statistic: Copied by a script from a statistics agency table or a published study's table, not retyped by hand. BLS figures and the forecast and exposure tables are also re-checked against that table on every data run. Researched context: Researched from the cited source rather than copied from it by a script, so it is not machine-checked yet. Spot a mistake? Each figure has a “Report an error” link.

Cited forecasts · present → 2035

Will AI replace construction painters? What the research says

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.

What published forecasts say
Forecast change in the number of people doing this work, as published by each named source. Bars share one scale on every role, centred on zero and reaching the end at ±30%. Grey marks a small change, 3% or less either way.
BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
→ 2035
+3%
BLS National Employment Matrix, 2025-35 cycle, line for SOC 47-2141 (Painters, construction and maintenance): 326.9 thousand jobs in 2025, projected 336.7 thousand in 2035, a change of +9.8 thousand (+3.0%). Matrix employment counts all jobs in the occupation, including self-employed workers (31.3% of this occupation in 2025). The average for all occupations in this cycle is +3.5%.
Official statisticReport an error
How exposed is this work to AI (research measures)
Scores as published by each study. Each row says what it measures. These measure what AI could technically do, not forecasts of jobs lost.
Frey & Osborne (2013), "The Future of Employment"
2013 study · Probability of computerisation (2013 model)
75%
probability
What this measures

Published appendix value for SOC 2010 47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance: probability of computerisation 0.75, rank 411 of 702 (rank 1 is least computerisable). Frey and Osborne estimated in 2013, with a Gaussian-process classifier on O*NET variables, how likely the whole occupation is to be technically automatable over "some unspecified number of years, perhaps a decade or two". It is a probability for the occupation, not a share of tasks and not a forecast of jobs lost.

Official statisticReport an error
Eloundou et al. (2023), "GPTs are GPTs"
2023 study · Share of tasks exposed to LLMs (β, human-rated)
2.9%
of tasks
What this measures

Published occupation-level exposure from the paper's occ_level.csv for O*NET-SOC 47-2141.00 Painters, Construction and Maintenance. Shown: human-rated β = 0.029, the share of the occupation's tasks an LLM could do in at least half the time at equal quality, counting tasks that need LLM-powered software at half weight (β = E1 + 0.5 × E2). Other published measures for this occupation: human-rated α (LLM alone) 0 and γ (all LLM-assisted) 0.057; GPT-4-rated β 0.057. This measures how much of the work an LLM could touch, not how many jobs disappear.

Official statisticReport an error
Today, in this role

What's changing day to day for construction painters

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you hereDocument job site progress with time-stamped, GPS-tagged photos at each phase (surface prep, primer coat, final coat) to support warranty claims, client approvals, and liability protection.

Document job site progress with time-stamped, GPS-tagged photos at each phase (surface prep, primer coat, final coat) to support warranty claims, client approvals, and liability protection.[6],[7]

Tools picking this up
Where your edge is

Adopt job-site photo documentation (CompanyCam) as a standard workflow step; the before/after gallery is a marketing asset and a legal shield for warranty disputes.

AI is sitting alongside you hereGenerate job estimates from on-site measurements or photos, calculating material quantities, labor hours, and total cost using AI-assisted estimating tools that auto-detect surfaces, trim, windows, and doors.

Generate job estimates from on-site measurements or photos, calculating material quantities, labor hours, and total cost using AI-assisted estimating tools that auto-detect surfaces, trim, windows, and doors.[8],[9]

Tools picking this up
Where your edge is

Learn photo-based AI estimating tools (SnapJobAI, Hover) to cut quote turnaround from days to hours and win more bids; verify AI outputs against your own labor-rate knowledge.

AI is sitting alongside you hereSchedule crews, manage material orders, track paint quantities per room, and coordinate multi-day projects using AI-enabled field service management software.

Schedule crews, manage material orders, track paint quantities per room, and coordinate multi-day projects using AI-enabled field service management software.[8],[9]

Tools picking this up
Where your edge is

Invest in field service management software with AI scheduling to grow from solo operator to multi-crew contractor.

Where construction painters go next

Natural next steps for someone with your foundation: not exits, evolutions.

What each move takes

A direction you could grow

Construction Managers

Senior painters who build business-owner experience managing subcontractors, budgets, and client relationships can move into construction management. The path typically runs through a painting contracting business or a GC apprenticeship, supplemented by an associate or bachelor's degree in construction management.

What you'd add
  • · Construction project scheduling (Procore, MS Project)
  • · Contract law basics and subcontractor management
  • · Associate or bachelor's degree in construction management or business
  • · Budgeting, change-order management, and cost-code accounting
What it takesA real upskill, but a natural one
Tools of the era

How has the work of construction painters changed since 1700?

The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Brush + hand-ground pigment (linseed oil, lead white, natural pigments)

    For two centuries of American history, painting a building was a craft of preparation and patience. Painters ground their own colors (white lead in linseed oil for exterior wood, lamp black or Venetian red mixed to the client's preference for interior trim) and applied them with hog-bristle brushes cut from their own stocks. The work required genuine knowledge: how to prepare a wooden surface (scraping, sanding, spot-priming with shellac on knots), how to thin oil-based paint to the right consistency for brush flow without runs or drag marks, how to keep a clean cut-in line along ceiling plaster without the tape or masking products that did not yet exist. White lead (lead carbonate) was the dominant pigment in exterior paint for more than a century because it mixed well, covered densely, and dried to a hard durable film. Painters who worked with it daily accumulated lead in their bodies over careers. This was not understood as a health hazard until the early 20th century, and not regulated until the 1970s.

    Effect on the work

    Entirely manual, highly skilled craft. A journeyman painter with good cutting-in technique and color-mixing knowledge commanded a wage premium over unskilled labor that persisted into the mid-20th century.

  • Brotherhood organizing era: journeyman standardization + early spray guns

    The Brotherhood of Painters and Decorators of America, founded in 1887, immediately set about standardizing what a journeyman painter was: a specified apprenticeship (typically three to four years of on-the-job training under a journeyman), a negotiated wage scale, and jurisdictional agreements with contractors that reserved painting work for union members. The Brotherhood's early work was less about technology than about institutional identity, defining and defending the craft boundaries that justified the painter's wage premium. The first significant productivity technology arrived in the 1880s-1890s with compressed-air spray equipment: early systems that applied thin, even coats of paint to furniture and woodwork faster than brushwork alone. Industrial and furniture factories were early adopters; construction painters remained primarily brush workers for residential and commercial work until after World War II.

    Effect on the work

    Organization raised and standardized wages for union painters in urban markets; non-union painters in rural and small-city markets remained largely at pre-organization wage levels. Spray technology was confined to industrial finishing; construction painting remained brush-and-roller.

  • Alkyd resin paints (1928) + factory-premixed paint standardization

    In 1928, chemist R.H. Kienle at the General Electric research laboratories developed alkyd resin: a synthetic binding agent that could replace linseed oil as the primary binder in oil-based paint. Alkyd paints dried faster than traditional linseed-oil paints, adhered better to metal and other non-wood surfaces, and could be formulated with more consistent color properties than pigments ground in natural oils. By the late 1930s, alkyd reformulations were displacing traditional linseed-oil paints in commercial and industrial applications. For the painter, the practical significance was reduced dry time (alkyd could be recoated in several hours rather than several hours for linseed-oil paint) and more consistent behavior from can to can. The paint can itself (a sealed, factory-premixed product) was becoming the norm, ending the painter's role as a color-mixer and pigment-grinder.

    Effect on the work

    Faster-drying alkyd paints increased the number of coats a painter could apply per day and reduced the skill required for color-mixing consistency. Productivity rose, but the wage premium associated with hand-ground color preparation declined as paint became a standardized manufactured product.

  • Latex water-based paint (commercial, ~1948) + nap roller adoption

    The commercial introduction of latex (water-based acrylic emulsion) house paint around 1948 was the single most transformative technological event in the modern history of the painting trade. Latex paint dried in minutes rather than several hours, cleaned up with water rather than mineral spirits, had no solvent vapors in enclosed spaces, and could be applied to damp or slightly wet surfaces where oil-based paint would blister and peel. The paint roller, a nap sleeve on a wire frame that could cover a flat wall surface several times faster than a brush, became standard equipment once latex paint arrived, because rollers worked poorly with slow-drying oil-based formulations but beautifully with fast-drying latex. For residential interior painting, the bulk of the US painter workforce, the latex-plus-roller combination effectively doubled per-day productivity on flat wall surfaces.

    Effect on the work

    The latex-plus-roller transition was ambivalent for painters: it reduced the skill barrier for interior wall painting (flat walls became faster and easier), which increased competitive pressure from homeowners and handymen doing their own work, while simultaneously allowing professional painters to take on more jobs per week. The craft value of the trade shifted toward preparation, cut-in, and finish work, where the brush and skilled hands still mattered.

  • OSHA (1971) + EPA lead-paint ban (1978) + airless sprayer commercial adoption

    Three forces converged to reshape the painter's work environment between 1971 and 1992. First, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (1971) brought painters under federal safety regulation for the first time, requiring fall protection on scaffolding, ventilation when applying solvent-based coatings in enclosed spaces, and eventually specific lead exposure limits. For painters working on pre-1978 housing, the majority of the existing US housing stock, this created an entirely new compliance discipline: lead-safe work practices, surface containment, personal protective equipment, and regulated waste disposal. Third, the commercial airless sprayer, developed in the 1960s and achieving broad job-site adoption through the 1970s and 1980s, made exterior and commercial painting dramatically faster on large flat surfaces.

    Effect on the work

    Lead-safe work practices increased time and cost for work on existing buildings, preserving painter employment in renovation markets. Airless sprayer adoption on new-construction and commercial projects concentrated productive capacity, reducing painter headcount needed for large-surface work while increasing demand for skilled finishers who could handle cut-in, trim, and detail work.

  • EPA RRP Rule (1992 / 2010) + low-VOC paint mainstream + digital color matching

    The Residential Lead-Based Paint Hazard Reduction Act of 1992 required disclosure of known lead paint hazards in home sales and rentals. In 2010, the EPA's Renovation, Repair and Painting (RRP) Rule took full effect: any contractor paid to disturb painted surfaces in pre-1978 homes, childcare facilities, or preschools must be EPA-certified and use lead-safe work practices. For painting contractors, this created a certification and training requirement that raised barriers to entry, reduced fly-by-night competition on renovation work, and added procedural overhead to every pre-1978 repaint job. Low-VOC and zero-VOC latex paints, driven by California Air Resources Board regulations (1990s) and adopted as mainstream product lines by Sherwin-Williams, Benjamin Moore, and others, reduced solvent-exposure hazards. Digital spectrophotometric color-matching systems (deployed in paint store terminals through the 1990s-2000s) eliminated the last vestige of on-site color-mixing skill from routine residential repainting work.

    Effect on the work

    RRP certification requirements segmented the market: compliant contractors could bid pre-1978 renovation work; uncertified handymen could not legally. This preserved a skill-premium segment for established painters. Low-VOC paint reduced health risks but did not change the painter's fundamental task set.

  • Painting robots: Okibo wall-painting (2022+), Apellix industrial drone (2014+), PaintJet exterior (2020+)

    The 2020s mark the first decade in which painting robots moved from research prototypes to commercial deployments, and the first decade in which an honest account of the painting trade has to grapple with the gap between robot capability and the breadth of actual painter work. Three systems are commercially real: Okibo's EG7 interior wall-painting robot, capable of approximately 1,000 square feet per hour on flat walls in residential, multifamily, and office environments, already deployed on major US construction sites; Apellix's autonomous drone system for exterior industrial coatings (founded 2014, clients include Saudi Aramco and Exelon), which removes painters from height-access and hazardous-material exposure scenarios; and PaintJet, founded 2020, targeting commercial exterior painting on new construction and large-surface retrofits. What none of these systems does well: the cut-in work around window frames, door casings, and baseboards that constitutes a significant fraction of interior painting time; surface preparation (patching, sanding, priming spot repairs) that a skilled painter does by judgment; the spatial navigation and furniture-moving that residential interior painting requires; and the customer interaction (color consultation, damage identification, scope negotiation) that defines the painter's client relationship in the residential segment. The bulk of US painter employment is in residential and light commercial work where robot-inaccessible complexity dominates.

    Effect on the work

    BLS projects only +3.8% growth 2024-2034 for painters, not a collapse, but below the all-trades average. The robot threat has suppressed new entrants to the trade without yet eliminating meaningful volumes of existing work. The most automation-exposed painters are those doing production flat-wall work on new multifamily construction; the least exposed are residential repaint specialists and renovation painters who navigate complex interiors on legacy housing stock.

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Painters, Construction and Maintenance employment and pay by year

On record since1887
Latest US employment225,190 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Latest US median pay$49,400 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Outlook+3% by 2035Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Official statisticReport an error

In other countries

The latest figure each country's statistics agency publishes for this job. Each uses its own occupation definition, survey basis and currency, so the numbers are not directly comparable with each other or with the US figures.

  • Canada (NOC 73112)

    Employment, 2020
    38,795, Statistics Canada Census 2021 Official statistic Report an errorStatistics Canada Census of Population 2021: number of persons with employment income in NOC 73112 Painters and decorators (except interior decorators), Canada, reference year 2020. A recipients basis (anyone with employment income during the year), slightly broader than a point-in-time employed count. Statistics Canada Open Licence.
    Median pay, 2020
    C$41,200, Statistics Canada Census 2021 Official statistic Report an errorStatistics Canada Census of Population 2021 (Table 98-10-0586): median employment income for NOC 73112 Painters and decorators (except interior decorators), Canada, reference year 2020, full-year full-time workers (the basis comparable to the US OEWS full-time median). Statistics Canada Open Licence.
View all 29 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
YearUS employmentAnnual pay (median unless marked)SourceReport
1900200,000n/aEst., IUPAT Researched contextReport
1920290,000n/aEst., IUPAT Researched contextReport
1940250,000n/aEst., BLS Researched contextReport
1960350,000n/aEst., BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook Researched contextReport
1980420,000$14,000Est., BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook Researched contextReport
2000261,040$27,250BLS OEWS 2000 Official statisticReport
2003247,880$29,360BLS OEWS May 2003 Official statisticReport
2004249,560$30,260BLS OEWS May 2004 Official statisticReport
2005249,850$30,800BLS OEWS May 2005 Official statisticReport
2006263,390$31,190BLS OEWS May 2006 Official statisticReport
2007260,260$32,080BLS OEWS May 2007 Official statisticReport
2008250,310$32,960BLS OEWS May 2008 Official statisticReport
2009214,240$33,720BLS OEWS May 2009 Official statisticReport
2010189,840$34,280BLS OEWS May 2010 Official statisticReport
2011184,820$35,430BLS OEWS May 2011 Official statisticReport
2012184,330$35,190BLS OEWS May 2012 Official statisticReport
2013192,890$35,390BLS OEWS May 2013 Official statisticReport
2014204,600$35,950BLS OEWS May 2014 Official statisticReport
2015213,330$36,580BLS OEWS May 2015 Official statisticReport
2016217,280$37,570BLS OEWS May 2016 Official statisticReport
2017221,340$37,960BLS OEWS May 2017 Official statisticReport
2018228,420$38,940BLS OEWS May 2018 Official statisticReport
2019232,760$40,280BLS OEWS May 2019 Official statisticReport
2020217,880$42,130BLS OEWS May 2020 Official statisticReport
2021214,220$45,590BLS OEWS May 2021 Official statisticReport
2022215,680$46,090BLS OEWS May 2022 Official statisticReport
2023215,910$47,700BLS OEWS May 2023 Official statisticReport
2024224,180n/aBLS OEWS May 2024 Official statisticReport
2025225,190$49,400BLS OEWS May 2025 Official statisticReport
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