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Sheet metal workers

Also called Sheet metal mechanic, HVAC sheet metal worker, Duct fabricator, Ductwork installer, Metal roofer

In brief

In May 2025, BLS counted 119,770 US sheet metal workers, with median pay of $61,800 a year. Of the BLS counts since 2003, the highest was 189,590, in May 2003. The earliest figure here is an estimate of 5,581 from 1893, not measured the same way as today's count. The last full technology era for sheet metal workers: BIM coordination and cloud nesting, 2010 to 2020.

What the sources say

Official outlook

BLS projects employment to grow 2.5% from 2025 to 2035.

BLS Employment Projections 2025-35

AI exposure studies

  • 6% of work tasks in construction and extraction occupations, this job's group, are exposed to automation by AI. Not a forecast of job losses. Goldman Sachs, 2023

Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. BLS publishes these counts as yearly survey snapshots and cautions against reading them as a precise trend. In May 2021 BLS changed how it estimates these counts (a model-based method using three years of survey data) and moved fully to the 2018 occupation codes, so part of a change across 2021 can come from the method rather than the work.

Last updated .

Cite this page
APA

Future History. (2026, October 11). Sheet metal workers: jobs and pay since 1893 [Data set; data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35]. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/47-2211

Chicago

Future History. "Sheet metal workers: jobs and pay since 1893." Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35. Last modified October 11, 2026. https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/47-2211.

BibTeX

@misc{futurehistory_47_2211, author = {{Future History}}, title = {Sheet metal workers: jobs and pay since 1893}, year = {2026}, month = oct, howpublished = {\url{https://futurehistory.earth/timeline/47-2211}}, note = {Last updated 2026-10-11. Data as of BLS OEWS May 2025; BLS Employment Projections 2025-35}, }

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17501775180018251850187519001925195019752000now
Country
2026
Known then as Tinsmith / Tin Plate Worker
Known then as Tin and Sheet Iron Worker / Cornice Worker
Known then as Amalgamated Sheet Metal Worker (ASMWIA era)
Known then as Sheet Metal Worker (SMWIA)
Known then as Sheet Metal Worker (SMWIA / SMART predecessor)
Known then as Sheet Metal Workers (BLS SOC 47-2211 / SMART union)
Known today as Sheet Metal Workers (BLS SOC 47-2211 / SMART union)
Projected to still be called Sheet Metal Workers (BLS SOC 47-2211 / SMART union)
Data from the May 2025 survey
US Employment
120K
Est.

Stated in source: BLS OEWS

Official statistic
Report an error
Median Annual Wage
$61,800

≈ $60,216 in 2024 prices (derived by us, CPI-adjusted)

Official statistic
Report an error
Beat · 1888

January 25, 1888: Eleven delegates from Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, Illinois, and Tennessee gather in Toledo, Ohio, to found the Tin, Sheet Iron and Cornice Workers' International Association, the predecessor of today's SMART union. The founding was organized by Robert Kellerstrass, secretary of the Tin and Cornice Makers Association of Peoria, Illinois, who recognized that local trade societies lacked the bargaining power of a national organization. Within five years the union grew to 108 locals and 5,581 members across the United States.

Beat · 1927

Members of SMWIA Local 206 fabricated the sheet metal fuselage and cowling components for Charles Lindbergh's "Spirit of St. Louis," the Ryan NYP monoplane that completed the first solo transatlantic flight on May 21, 1927. The aircraft's sheet metal construction represented the intersection of the trade's precision fabrication skills and the emerging aviation manufacturing industry, a sector that would become a major employer of sheet metal workers through WWII.

Beat · 1943

SMACNA (Sheet Metal and Air Conditioning Contractors' National Association) is formed in 1943, creating the industry association that would partner with SMWIA to develop apprenticeship programs, construction standards, and collective bargaining frameworks. The same year, SMWIA membership had grown to over 40,000 workers involved in military shipyard fabrication, aircraft plant sheet metal work, and wartime construction. The SMACNA-SMWIA partnership established a joint apprenticeship framework in 1947 that remains the primary pathway into the trade today.

Beat · 1952

Local 28 (New York City) becomes the first SMWIA local to issue pension checks, in 1952, having negotiated the first pension plan in the construction trades in 1950. Local 28's pension and welfare benefits were landmark achievements for construction labor, and the NYC sheet metal market became the highest-wage market in the trade. Local 28 would also later be subject to a decades-long federal court case (EEOC v. Local 28) over discriminatory admission practices, resolved through a 1975 court order and a consent decree that reshaped the trade's diversity profile.

Beat · 1971

The National Training Fund is established in 1971 through SMWIA-SMACNA cooperation, creating a centralized fund for apprenticeship and journeyman upgrade training across the industry. The 1970s also saw the first energy crisis (1973-74) drive significant investment in HVAC system retrofits and energy-efficient ductwork systems, creating a new market segment for sheet metal contractors. The National Energy Management Institute, created in 1981 through SMWIA-SMACNA partnership, further institutionalized energy-efficiency as a specialty within the trade.

Beat · 2008

SMART (Sheet Metal, Air, Rail, and Transportation Workers) is created through a merger of SMWIA (Sheet Metal Workers' International Association) and UTU (United Transportation Union), effective January 2008. The merger united two very different trade workforces under one international union, with sheet metal construction workers retaining their SMACNA-negotiated contracts and apprenticeship frameworks. SMART represents approximately 150,000 members in North America across construction, manufacturing, and transportation sectors.

Beat · 2025

AI-assisted sheet metal fabrication reaches a practical inflection point as Stratus releases direct integration with Mestek spiral duct machines at its Stratus Innovation 2025 conference, connecting Revit BIM models to CNC production equipment with minimal manual translation. At the 60th Annual CAL SMACNA Convention, the keynote on AI in sheet metal and HVAC by Dynaimix AI marks the first time a major industry conference devotes its main stage to AI adoption in the trade. SMART-SMACNA Partners in Progress 2026 addresses AI explicitly as a workforce development challenge, reflecting that union leadership views AI tools as an augmentation opportunity rather than a displacement threat for organized sheet metal workers.

How to read this number

OEWS is a point-in-time survey snapshot, not a continuous time series; BLS advises against using it for year-over-year trend comparison.

Each dot is a cited figure over time; the dotted line only links them (values between aren't measured). Hollow dots are estimates.

Official statistic: Copied by a script from a statistics agency table or a published study's table, not retyped by hand. BLS figures and the forecast and exposure tables are also re-checked against that table on every data run. Researched context: Researched from the cited source rather than copied from it by a script, so it is not machine-checked yet. Spot a mistake? Each figure has a “Report an error” link.

Cited forecasts · present → 2035

Will AI replace sheet metal workers? What the research says

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, we show the disagreement rather than an average.

Each figure is stated by the named source; we publish no forecasts of our own. Where sources disagree, the spread is the honest signal.

What published forecasts say
Forecast change in the number of people doing this work, as published by each named source. Bars share one scale on every role, centred on zero and reaching the end at ±30%. Grey marks a small change, 3% or less either way.
BLS Employment Projections 2025-35
→ 2035
+2.5%
BLS National Employment Matrix, 2025-35 cycle, line for SOC 47-2211 (Sheet metal workers): 131.1 thousand jobs in 2025, projected 134.4 thousand in 2035, a change of +3.3 thousand (+2.5%). Matrix employment counts all jobs in the occupation, including self-employed workers (8.4% of this occupation in 2025). The average for all occupations in this cycle is +3.5%.
Official statisticReport an error
How exposed is this work to AI (research measures)
Scores as published by each study. Each row says what it measures. These measure what AI could technically do, not forecasts of jobs lost.
Goldman Sachs (Briggs & Kodnani, 2023), "The Potentially Large Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Economic Growth"
2023 study · Share of work tasks exposed to automation by AI, all construction and extraction occupations (US)
6%
of tasks
What this measures

Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research scored the task content of each US occupation for exposure to automation by generative AI and weighted by OEWS employment. Exhibit 5 (US panel) reports 6% for construction and extraction occupations, the occupational group this role belongs to; the report publishes no figure for individual occupations. It measures how much of the group's work AI could automate, not how many jobs disappear, and it is a 2023 estimate, not a forecast for a later year.

Official statisticReport an error
Today, in this role

What's changing day to day for sheet metal workers

Three parts of your work where AI is already doing real lifting, and what stays yours.

AI is sitting alongside you hereEstimate material quantities, fittings, and labor hours for sheet metal bids using digital takeoff software (Trimble AutoBid SheetMetal)

Estimate material quantities, fittings, and labor hours for sheet metal bids using digital takeoff software (Trimble AutoBid SheetMetal); review AI-flagged bid anomalies and risk factors before submitting; generate cost breakdowns for project managers and general contractors.[8],[13]

Tools picking this up
Where your edge is

Get trained on Trimble AutoBid SheetMetal or equivalent digital takeoff software. Contractors using AI-assisted estimating report faster takeoffs and fewer missed fittings. An estimator who understands the underlying database -- not just the output -- can customize assemblies for non-standard conditions and avoid costly bid errors.

AI is sitting alongside you hereInterpret project blueprints, BIM coordination models (Revit, Navisworks), and shop drawings to determine duct layouts, fitting geometry, material gauges, and assembly sequences before fabrication begins

Interpret project blueprints, BIM coordination models (Revit, Navisworks), and shop drawings to determine duct layouts, fitting geometry, material gauges, and assembly sequences before fabrication begins; identify conflicts with structural and other MEP trades in the 3D model.[3],[14]

Where your edge is

Learn to navigate Autodesk Revit MEP and Navisworks coordination models. Job postings at commercial HVAC contractors now routinely list BIM360 and Navisworks as required skills. Workers who can read a clash-detection report and adapt their layout to avoid conflicts reduce expensive field rework and are prioritized for foreman tracks.

AI is sitting alongside you hereInspect fabricated parts using calipers, scales, and micrometers to verify gauge and dimensional conformance

Inspect fabricated parts using calipers, scales, and micrometers to verify gauge and dimensional conformance; scan QR-coded spool labels in field management software (Stratus) to update fabrication and installation status; flag non-conforming parts for rework before delivery to the field.[7],[3]

Tools picking this up
Where your edge is

Learn to use the QR-coded spool tracking workflow in Stratus or equivalent fabrication management platforms. Contractors using digital part tracking report fewer lost or wrong-order deliveries to the field. Workers who catch a non-conforming part in the shop save days of field rework and protect their shop's reputation with the GC.

Where sheet metal workers go next

Natural next steps for someone with your foundation: not exits, evolutions.

What each move takes

A direction you could grow

Construction Managers

Experienced sheet metal foremen already manage crew scheduling, material procurement, subcontractor coordination, and job-site safety for multi-trade mechanical projects. The pivot to construction management is a natural step for journeymen who have spent years as lead hands or foremen. A construction management certificate bridges the formal gap, and the Stratus and BIM platform skills being acquired in the shop translate directly to project coordination roles.

What you'd add
  • · Project scheduling software (Procore, Primavera P6, or Microsoft Project)
  • · Construction cost estimating and change order management across multiple trades
  • · Contract administration: RFIs, submittals, owner reporting, and lien waivers
  • · CMIT (Construction Manager-in-Training) or equivalent PM credential through CMAA
What it takesSome new skills to pick up
Tools of the era

How has the work of sheet metal workers changed since 1750?

The tools that defined the work, one line per era. Select an era to see how it reshaped the work.

  • Hand tools and stake anvil (tinsmith craft era)

    The colonial and early American tinsmith worked entirely by hand on a stake anvil: hand shears cut the brittle tin plate to shape, mallets and forming hammers raised it over shaped iron stakes, and a soldering iron run over a charcoal fire joined the seams. Every piece was custom-fitted because the trade had no machines and no standard gauges. The craft required years of apprenticeship to master the geometry of flat-to-formed transitions: how a flat sheet could be cut, bent, and seamed into a cone, a cylinder, a box with watertight corners. This manual geometry laid the cognitive foundation for every subsequent generation of sheet metal work.

  • Steam-powered rolling mills and galvanized sheet iron (industrial sheet metal era)

    Steam-powered rolling mills made large-format galvanized sheet iron available at consistent gauges and affordable prices by the 1860s, transforming the sheet metal trade from a small-shop artisan craft into a major construction industry. Galvanized sheet iron was stronger, less brittle, and far cheaper than tin plate, and it could be fabricated with hand-powered mechanical shears, slip-roll formers, and bending brakes that made short work of the tasks that had taken tinsmiths hours. The result was an explosion of new applications: pressed metal ceilings (the W.E. Kinnear company patented pressed steel panels in 1888), elaborate Victorian cornices and facades, warm-air furnace ducts, and the skylights and ornamental metalwork that defined late-19th-century commercial architecture. The trade's workforce grew rapidly and its union formed in 1888 to manage the new industrial scale of the work.

  • Power shears, brake presses, and mechanical forming (shop fabrication era)

    Electric-powered squaring shears, press brakes, and rollformers, widely adopted in sheet metal shops through the 1920s-1940s, transformed shop fabrication from a manual skill into a machine-assisted production process. A journeyman could now shear, form, and seam duct sections far faster than with hand tools, enabling shops to bid and deliver larger projects. The formation of SMACNA (Sheet Metal and Air Conditioning Contractors' National Association) in 1943 and the first Standard Form of Union Agreement with SMWIA in 1947 standardized labor practices across the industry, creating the formal apprenticeship and journeyman system that still governs entry to the trade today.

    Effect on the work

    Power shop equipment roughly doubled per-worker output on standard duct fabrication versus hand methods, allowing the same workforce to handle the postwar construction boom's surge in HVAC ductwork demand without proportional headcount growth. SMWIA membership grew between 1925 and 1946, reflecting both efficiency gains and the massive wartime demand surge.

  • Central air conditioning drives HVAC ductwork specialization

    Central air conditioning transformed the sheet metal trade more fundamentally than any tool introduced before or since. Before the 1950s, sheet metal work was dominated by architectural applications: cornices, gutters, flashing, and warm-air heating ducts. As commercial air conditioning spread through the 1950s (from the department stores and movie theaters of the 1940s to offices, hospitals, schools, and homes), HVAC ductwork fabrication became the trade's dominant application, accounting for well over half of sheet metal worker employment by the 1970s. Workers who had been primarily architectural metalworkers became primarily HVAC mechanics, and the industry standard for duct construction, the SMACNA HVAC Duct Construction Standards, became the defining technical reference of the trade.

    Effect on the work

    SMWIA membership tripled between 1946 and 1970, with virtually all of the growth driven by commercial and residential HVAC ductwork demand as central air conditioning spread to cover over half of US households by 1970.

  • CAD and plasma cutting (early digital fabrication)

    The adoption of CAD software for duct layout and shop drawing production in the 1980s-1990s, and the widespread introduction of CNC plasma cutting tables in sheet metal shops during the 1990s-2000s, represented the first time that computers entered the sheet metal fabrication workflow in a substantive way. CNC plasma tables allowed shops to cut complex fitting shapes with greater precision and speed than a journeyman with hand shears, and CAD drawings produced faster, more accurate shop drawings than hand-drafted patterns. The transition required sheet metal workers to become comfortable reading computer-generated shop drawings and, in larger shops, operating CNC cutting equipment from loaded programs. These tools augmented experienced workers but did not displace them.

  • BIM coordination and cloud nesting (Autodesk CAMduct, Revit MEP)

    Autodesk Fabrication CAMduct, available as a cloud-hosted platform from 2014, brought true automated nesting to sheet metal shops: the software simultaneously runs ten optimization algorithms on a given job's parts list to minimize material waste, then generates machine code for CNC cutting equipment directly from the optimized nest. Revit MEP and Navisworks clash-detection became standard for commercial ductwork coordination on larger projects, requiring sheet metal workers to navigate 3D building information models rather than 2D drawings. The transition from paper drawings to BIM coordination changed the cognitive demand of the trade's estimation and layout phases significantly, though the fabrication and installation core remained manual.

    Effect on the work

    CAMduct cloud nesting and similar AI-assisted tools are estimated to reduce material waste per project and cut pattern generation time substantially, allowing smaller shop crews to take on larger project scopes without proportional headcount increases.

  • BIM-to-fabrication automation (Stratus, Trimble AutoBid SheetMetal AI)

    The latest generation of tools connects BIM authoring software directly to CNC fabrication equipment with minimal manual translation. Stratus, which debuted as a sheet metal BIM-to-fabrication platform around 2020 and gained Mestek spiral duct machine integration in 2025, automates the generation of MAJ files that drive coil lines and spiral machines directly from Revit duct models, eliminating the manual drafting step between engineering design and shop production. Trimble AutoBid SheetMetal uses AI-driven pattern recognition to cut material takeoff time and flags probable bid errors before submission. Together these tools are shifting the highest-value cognitive work in the trade toward BIM literacy and machine oversight rather than manual pattern calculation, while the installation core of the job remains irreducibly physical.

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Sheet Metal Workers employment and pay by year

On record since1750
Latest US employment119,770 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Latest US median pay$61,800 (May 2025)Source: BLS OEWS May 2025Official statisticReport an error
Outlook+2.5% by 2035Source: BLS Employment Projections 2025-35Official statisticReport an error

In other countries

The latest figure each country's statistics agency publishes for this job. Each uses its own occupation definition, survey basis and currency, so the numbers are not directly comparable with each other or with the US figures.

  • Canada (NOC 72102)

    Employment, 2020
    18,990, Statistics Canada Census 2021 Official statistic Report an errorStatistics Canada Census of Population 2021: number of persons with employment income in NOC 72102 Sheet metal workers, Canada, reference year 2020. A recipients basis (anyone with employment income during the year), slightly broader than a point-in-time employed count. Statistics Canada Open Licence.
    Median pay, 2020
    C$66,000, Statistics Canada Census 2021 Official statistic Report an errorStatistics Canada Census of Population 2021 (Table 98-10-0586): median employment income for NOC 72102 Sheet metal workers, Canada, reference year 2020, full-year full-time workers (the basis comparable to the US OEWS full-time median). Statistics Canada Open Licence.
View all 29 years of cited US data, each linked to its source
YearUS employmentAnnual pay (median unless marked)SourceReport
18935,581n/aEst., SMART Union Researched contextReport
1910n/a$832BLS historical bulletin Researched contextReport
192524,000n/aEst., SMART Union Researched contextReport
194652,932n/aEst., Wikipedia / SMWIA historical records Researched contextReport
1970150,000n/aEst., Wikipedia / SMWIA historical records Researched contextReport
2000n/a$31,850BLS OEWS 2000 Official statisticReport
2003189,590$35,000BLS OEWS May 2003 Official statisticReport
2004184,740$35,560BLS OEWS May 2004 Official statisticReport
2005174,550$36,390BLS OEWS May 2005 Official statisticReport
2006177,540$37,360BLS OEWS May 2006 Official statisticReport
2007167,730$39,210BLS OEWS May 2007 Official statisticReport
2008163,480$40,290BLS OEWS May 2008 Official statisticReport
2009146,690$40,640BLS OEWS May 2009 Official statisticReport
2010131,600$41,710BLS OEWS May 2010 Official statisticReport
2011130,670$42,730BLS OEWS May 2011 Official statisticReport
2012133,420$43,290BLS OEWS May 2012 Official statisticReport
2013134,110$43,890BLS OEWS May 2013 Official statisticReport
2014132,530$45,070BLS OEWS May 2014 Official statisticReport
2015135,570$45,750BLS OEWS May 2015 Official statisticReport
2016134,450$46,940BLS OEWS May 2016 Official statisticReport
2017132,920$47,990BLS OEWS May 2017 Official statisticReport
2018131,570$48,460BLS OEWS May 2018 Official statisticReport
2019131,300$50,400BLS OEWS May 2019 Official statisticReport
2020128,220$51,370BLS OEWS May 2020 Official statisticReport
2021122,630$53,440BLS OEWS May 2021 Official statisticReport
2022120,810$55,350BLS OEWS May 2022 Official statisticReport
2023116,190$58,780BLS OEWS May 2023 Official statisticReport
2024117,470$60,850BLS OEWS May 2024 Official statisticReport
2025119,770$61,800BLS OEWS May 2025 Official statisticReport
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